Relative strengthSlight edge for Cienciano
FC Cajamarca vs Cienciano: final result and verified AI prediction
FC CajamarcaWLLWL31%FC Cajamarca
25.8%Draw
43.3%Cienciano
CiencianoLLDLWVERDICTCorrect
The Foresportia prediction shown on this page was published before the match and is compared with the final result. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYRisk The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 37.5%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance X2 · 69%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Prediction review
Post-match · Confirmed result2 - 5
Published probability43.3%
Pick resultCorrect
Final-score rank in pre-match top 5Not in the published pre-match top 5
Verified pre-match markets
BTTS Yes65.6%Correct
Over 2.5 goals64.2%Correct
Double chance 1274.2%Correct
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formSlight edge for FC Cajamarca
Goal profileRather open
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceLow
Published pre-match projection
FC Cajamarca31%Draw25.8%
Cienciano43.3%Published pre-match predictionCienciano
1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence37.5%
Verified pre-match markets
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 12 | 74.2% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | Cienciano | 58.3% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 64.2% | Interesting |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.6% | Solid |
| Total goals | Over 1.5 | 80.6% | Solid |
What the model projected
Pre-match projected goals1.93FC Cajamarca
Total xG3.79
Pre-match projected goals1.86Cienciano
Under 2.5 probability35.8%
BTTS No probability34.4%
Pre-match top 5 likely scores
1 - 211.1%1 - 19.5%2 - 19.1%0 - 17%2 - 26.8%
Advanced scenarios
FC CajamarcaCienciano17.4%
Clean sheet22.9%
12.9%
Win by 2 goals or more21.6%
Pre-match comparison
FC CajamarcaCienciano17thCurrent position4th
1468Elo1518
WLLWLForm (last 5)LLDLW
2.0Goals scored / match (5)0.8
2.4Goals conceded / match (5)1.6
0.0Clean sheets (5)40.0
Prediction reliability
This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
29.2%
29.2% correct predictions
over 48 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for FC Cajamarca vs Cienciano?
The model gives Cienciano a slight edge at 43.3%. Caution is still required.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 1 - 2 (11.07%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 65.6% and BTTS No at 34.4%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance X2 stands at 69%, without being certain.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about FC Cajamarca vs Cienciano
This Peruvian Liga 1 fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, FC Cajamarca sits 17th and Cienciano 4th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1468 for FC Cajamarca and 1518 for Cienciano.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 40% for FC Cajamarca and 26.7% for Cienciano. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
Before the match, Foresportia's analysis estimated that the 1X2 probabilities gave FC Cajamarca 31%, the draw 25.8% and Cienciano 43.3%. Before the match, the model projected 1.93 xG against 1.86, for a combined 3.79. Before the match, the most likely score according to Foresportia was 1–2 at 11.1%.