Relative strengthAdvantage Deportivo Garcilaso
Prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau
Deportivo GarcilasoWWDWW43.2%Deportivo Garcilaso
33%Draw
23.8%Atletico Grau
Atletico GrauWWWDLVERDICTDeportivo Garcilaso slight favourite
Foresportia's analysis estimates that Deportivo Garcilaso has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The models give Deportivo Garcilaso a slight edge, but the gap is not large enough to form a strong signal. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance 1X at 76.2%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYRisk The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 40.5%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance 1X · 76.2%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formAdvantage Deportivo Garcilaso
Goal profileRather low-scoring
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceLow
Probabilities & verdict
Deportivo Garcilaso43.2%Draw33%
Atletico Grau23.8%Main pickDeportivo Garcilaso
1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence40.5%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 76.2% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | Deportivo Garcilaso | 64.5% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Under 2.5 | 56.7% | Interesting |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.5% | Neutral |
| Total goals | Under 3.5 | 80.9% | Solid |
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)1.32Deportivo Garcilaso
Total xG2.24
Expected goals (xG)0.92Atletico Grau
Under 2.5 probability56.7%
BTTS No probability51.5%
Top 5 likely scores
0 - 014%1 - 012.9%1 - 112.1%2 - 111.4%0 - 18.5%
Advanced scenarios
Deportivo GarcilasoAtletico Grau38.8%
Clean sheet26.8%
24.8%
Win to nil12.7%
18.7%
Win by 2 goals or more6.8%
Team comparison
Deportivo GarcilasoAtletico Grau2ndCurrent position12th
1624Elo1514
WWDWWForm (last 5)WWWDL
1.6Goals scored / match (5)1.0
0.2Goals conceded / match (5)0.4
80.0Clean sheets (5)60.0
Prediction reliability
This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
29.2%
29.2% correct predictions
over 48 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau?
The Foresportia model gives Deportivo Garcilaso a slight edge at 43.2%. Caution is still required.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 0 - 0 (14.04%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 48.5% and BTTS No at 51.5%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance 1X stands at 76.2%, without being certain.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau
This Peruvian Liga 1 fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Deportivo Garcilaso sits 2nd and Atletico Grau 12th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1624 for Deportivo Garcilaso and 1514 for Atletico Grau.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 86.7% for Deportivo Garcilaso and 66.7% for Atletico Grau. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives Deportivo Garcilaso 43.2%, the draw 33% and Atletico Grau 23.8%. The expected-goals model projects 1.32 xG against 0.92, for a combined 2.24. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 0–0 at 14%.