Relative strengthAdvantage Cusco
Cusco vs UCV Moquegua: final result and verified AI prediction
CuscoWLWLW55.7%Cusco
27.6%Draw
16.6%UCV Moquegua
UCV MoqueguaLWDLDVERDICTCorrect
The Foresportia prediction shown on this page was published before the match and is compared with the final result. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYCorrect The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 60.2%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance 1X · 83.4%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Prediction review
Post-match · Confirmed result2 - 0
Published probability55.7%
Pick resultCorrect
Final-score rank in pre-match top 5#5
Verified pre-match markets
BTTS Yes50.9%Incorrect
Over 2.5 goals51.1%Incorrect
Double chance 1X83.4%Correct
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formAdvantage Cusco
Goal profileRather low-scoring
Signal stabilityModerate
Model confidenceHigh
Published pre-match projection
Cusco55.7%Draw27.6%
UCV Moquegua16.6%Published pre-match predictionCusco
1X2 STABILITYCorrect
Model confidence60.2%
Verified pre-match markets
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 83.4% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | Cusco | 77% | Solid |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 51.1% | Neutral |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.9% | Neutral |
| Total goals | Under 3.5 | 75% | Solid |
What the model projected
Pre-match projected goals1.78Cusco
Total xG2.11
Pre-match projected goals0.33UCV Moquegua
Under 2.5 probability48.9%
BTTS No probability49.1%
Pre-match top 5 likely scores
2 - 112.8%1 - 012.6%1 - 110.6%0 - 010.4%2 - 08.2%
Advanced scenarios
CuscoUCV Moquegua41.2%
Clean sheet18.3%
29.8%
Win by 2 goals or more4.1%
Pre-match comparison
CuscoUCV Moquegua5thCurrent position14th
1608Elo1469
WLWLWForm (last 5)LWDLD
2.0Goals scored / match (5)0.8
1.8Goals conceded / match (5)1.4
20.0Clean sheets (5)40.0
Prediction reliability
The signal has an intermediate stability level and should still be read alongside the match context.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCECorrect profile
91.7%
91.7% correct predictions
over 12 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for Cusco vs UCV Moquegua?
The model gives Cusco a moderate edge at 55.7%. This estimate does not guarantee the final result.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 2 - 1 (12.82%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 50.9% and BTTS No at 49.1%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance 1X stands at 83.4%, without being certain.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about Cusco vs UCV Moquegua
This Peruvian Liga 1 fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Cusco sits 5th and UCV Moquegua 14th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1608 for Cusco and 1469 for UCV Moquegua.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 60% for Cusco and 33.3% for UCV Moquegua. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
Before the match, Foresportia's analysis estimated that the 1X2 probabilities gave Cusco 55.7%, the draw 27.6% and UCV Moquegua 16.6%. Before the match, the model projected 1.78 xG against 0.33, for a combined 2.11. Before the match, the most likely score according to Foresportia was 2–1 at 12.8%.