Relative strengthSlight edge for Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Prediction for Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs FC Cajamarca
Club Deportivo Los ChankasLLLDW44.9%Club Deportivo Los Chankas
25.5%Draw
29.6%FC Cajamarca
FC CajamarcaLWLLWVERDICTClub Deportivo Los Chankas slight favourite
Foresportia's analysis estimates that Club Deportivo Los Chankas has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The models give Club Deportivo Los Chankas a slight edge, but the gap is not large enough to form a strong signal. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance 1X at 70.4%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYRisk The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 42.4%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance 1X · 70.4%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formSlight edge for FC Cajamarca
Goal profileRather open
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceLow
Probabilities & verdict
Club Deportivo Los Chankas44.9%Draw25.5%
FC Cajamarca29.6%Main pickClub Deportivo Los Chankas
1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence42.4%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 12 | 74.5% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 60.3% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 63.5% | Interesting |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.9% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Over 1.5 | 80.9% | Solid |
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)1.76Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Total xG3.16
Expected goals (xG)1.40FC Cajamarca
Under 2.5 probability36.5%
BTTS No probability35.1%
Top 5 likely scores
2 - 111%1 - 19.7%1 - 28.6%1 - 07.3%2 - 26.6%
Advanced scenarios
Club Deportivo Los ChankasFC Cajamarca24%
Clean sheet17.1%
18%
Win to nil11.1%
22.9%
Win by 2 goals or more12%
Team comparison
Club Deportivo Los ChankasFC Cajamarca4thCurrent position9th
1479Elo1441
LLLDWForm (last 5)LWLLW
1.4Goals scored / match (5)2.4
2.6Goals conceded / match (5)3.0
0.0Clean sheets (5)0.0
Prediction reliability
This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
29.2%
29.2% correct predictions
over 48 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs FC Cajamarca?
The Foresportia model gives Club Deportivo Los Chankas a slight edge at 44.9%. Caution is still required.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 2 - 1 (11.01%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 64.9% and BTTS No at 35.1%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance 1X stands at 70.4%, without being certain.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs FC Cajamarca
This Peruvian Liga 1 fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Club Deportivo Los Chankas sits 4th and FC Cajamarca 9th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1479 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas and 1441 for FC Cajamarca.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 26.7% for Club Deportivo Los Chankas and 40% for FC Cajamarca. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives Club Deportivo Los Chankas 44.9%, the draw 25.5% and FC Cajamarca 29.6%. The expected-goals model projects 1.76 xG against 1.40, for a combined 3.16. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 2–1 at 11%.