Peruvian Liga 1 · Matchday 10 · Season 2026 · ScheduledEstadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco

First AI projection for Cienciano vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas

CiencianoWLLDL
1X2 PREDICTION BALANCE
49.9%Cienciano
27.2%Draw
22.9%Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Club Deportivo Los ChankasLLLDW
VERDICTCienciano slight favourite

Foresportia's analysis estimates that Cienciano has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The models give Cienciano a slight edge, but the gap is not large enough to form a strong signal. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance 1X at 77.1%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.

1X2 STABILITYRisk The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 47.5%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance 1X · 77.1%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.

Why the model sees it this way

Relative strengthSlight edge for Cienciano
Recent formRather balanced
Goal profileIntermediate goal profile
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceModerate

Probabilities & verdict

Cienciano49.9%
Draw27.2%
Club Deportivo Los Chankas22.9%

Main pickCienciano

1X2 STABILITYRisk

Model confidence47.5%

1X2 alternatives

1X2 alternatives
MarketPickProbabilityReading
Double chance1X77.1%Most robust signal
Draw no betCienciano68.5%Solid
Total goalsOver 2.556%Interesting
Both teams to scoreYes57.7%Interesting
Total goalsOver 1.575.5%Solid
View all markets →

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

How the match could unfold

Expected goals (xG)1.69Cienciano

Expected goals (xG)1.08Club Deportivo Los Chankas

Under 2.5 probability44%

BTTS No probability42.3%

Top 5 likely scores
2 - 112.2%1 - 110.7%1 - 010%0 - 08.4%1 - 27.4%

Advanced scenarios

CiencianoClub Deportivo Los Chankas
32.4%
Clean sheet
18.3%
24%
Win to nil
9.9%
25.6%
Win by 2 goals or more
7.4%
Learn more about our scenarios →

Team comparison

CiencianoClub Deportivo Los Chankas
6thCurrent position6th
1546Elo1479
WLLDLForm (last 5)LLLDW
1.4Goals scored / match (5)1.4
2.0Goals conceded / match (5)2.6
20.0Clean sheets (5)0.0
View the detailed comparison ›

Prediction reliability

Risk profile

This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.

HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
29.2%

29.2% correct predictions
over 48 verified matches

Learn more about our methodology →
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE50%35%20%0101929384829.2%Number of matches

What the data says about Cienciano vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas

This Peruvian Liga 1 fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Cienciano sits 6th and Club Deportivo Los Chankas 6th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1546 for Cienciano and 1479 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 26.7% for Cienciano and 26.7% for Club Deportivo Los Chankas. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives Cienciano 49.9%, the draw 27.2% and Club Deportivo Los Chankas 22.9%. The expected-goals model projects 1.69 xG against 1.08, for a combined 2.78. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 2–1 at 12.2%.