Relative strengthSlight edge for Alianza Atletico
Prediction for Atletico Grau vs Alianza Atletico
Atletico GrauWWWDL37%Atletico Grau
34.3%Draw
28.7%Alianza Atletico
Alianza AtleticoWWWDWVERDICTVery balanced match
Foresportia's analysis estimates that Atletico Grau has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The 1X2 probabilities are very close and do not identify a clear favourite. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance 1X at 71.3%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYRisk The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 36.7%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance 1X · 71.3%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formAdvantage Alianza Atletico
Goal profileRather low-scoring
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceLow
Probabilities & verdict
Atletico Grau37%Draw34.3%
Alianza Atletico28.7%Main pickAtletico Grau
1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence36.7%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 71.3% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | Atletico Grau | 56.3% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Under 2.5 | 58.2% | Interesting |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.8% | Neutral |
| Total goals | Under 3.5 | 82% | Solid |
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)1.17Atletico Grau
Total xG2.18
Expected goals (xG)1.00Alianza Atletico
Under 2.5 probability58.2%
BTTS No probability51.8%
Top 5 likely scores
0 - 014.9%1 - 112.4%1 - 012%2 - 110.4%0 - 110.1%
Advanced scenarios
Atletico GrauAlianza Atletico35.9%
Clean sheet30.8%
21%
Win to nil15.9%
14.2%
Win by 2 goals or more9.3%
Team comparison
Atletico GrauAlianza Atletico13thCurrent position8th
1514Elo1576
WWWDLForm (last 5)WWWDW
1.0Goals scored / match (5)2.4
0.4Goals conceded / match (5)1.0
60.0Clean sheets (5)20.0
Prediction reliability
This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
29.2%
29.2% correct predictions
over 48 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for Atletico Grau vs Alianza Atletico?
The Foresportia model sees a very balanced match. Caution is still required.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 0 - 0 (14.90%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 48.2% and BTTS No at 51.8%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance 1X stands at 71.3%, without being certain.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about Atletico Grau vs Alianza Atletico
This Peruvian Liga 1 fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Atletico Grau sits 13th and Alianza Atletico 8th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1514 for Atletico Grau and 1576 for Alianza Atletico.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 66.7% for Atletico Grau and 86.7% for Alianza Atletico. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives Atletico Grau 37%, the draw 34.3% and Alianza Atletico 28.7%. The expected-goals model projects 1.17 xG against 1.00, for a combined 2.18. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 0–0 at 14.9%.