Relative strengthAdvantage Alianza Lima
First AI projection for Alianza Lima vs ADT
Alianza LimaLDWDW57.8%Alianza Lima
28.1%Draw
14%ADT
ADTLLDDLVERDICTModerate edge for Alianza Lima
Foresportia's analysis estimates that Alianza Lima has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The models give Alianza Lima a moderate edge in the 1X2 reading. The more protective signal remains double chance 1X at 86%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYCorrect The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 62.3%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance 1X · 86%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formAdvantage Alianza Lima
Goal profileRather low-scoring
Signal stabilityModerate
Model confidenceHigh
Probabilities & verdict
Alianza Lima57.8%Draw28.1%
ADT14%Main pickAlianza Lima
1X2 STABILITYCorrect
Model confidence62.3%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 86% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | Alianza Lima | 80.5% | Solid |
| Total goals | Under 2.5 | 53% | Neutral |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.7% | Neutral |
| Total goals | Under 3.5 | 77.9% | Solid |
This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)1.67Alianza Lima
Total xG2.39
Expected goals (xG)0.72ADT
Under 2.5 probability53%
BTTS No probability53.7%
Top 5 likely scores
1 - 014.3%2 - 112.6%0 - 012%1 - 110.7%2 - 09.2%
Advanced scenarios
Alianza LimaADT46.5%
Clean sheet19.2%
34.5%
Win to nil7.2%
30.8%
Win by 2 goals or more2.9%
Team comparison
Alianza LimaADT1stCurrent position17th
1658Elo1418
LDWDWForm (last 5)LLDDL
1.2Goals scored / match (5)0.8
0.8Goals conceded / match (5)2.2
20.0Clean sheets (5)0.0
Prediction reliability
The signal has an intermediate stability level and should still be read alongside the match context.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCECorrect profile
91.7%
91.7% correct predictions
over 12 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What does the first AI projection say about Alianza Lima vs ADT?
The Foresportia model gives Alianza Lima a moderate edge at 57.8%. This probability may change before the match.
Why can this estimate change?
Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.
Is an early likely score available?
The first calculated scenario is 1 - 0 (14.35%), but this is an early estimate that may change.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about Alianza Lima vs ADT
This Peruvian Liga 1 fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Alianza Lima sits 1st and ADT 17th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1658 for Alianza Lima and 1418 for ADT.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 53.3% for Alianza Lima and 13.3% for ADT. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives Alianza Lima 57.8%, the draw 28.1% and ADT 14%. The expected-goals model projects 1.67 xG against 0.72, for a combined 2.39. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 1–0 at 14.3%.