Relative strengthAdvantage Alianza Atletico
Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca: final result and verified AI prediction
Alianza AtleticoWWDWL52.4%Alianza Atletico
28.7%Draw
18.9%UTC Cajamarca
UTC CajamarcaLLLDLVERDICTCorrect
The Foresportia prediction shown on this page was published before the match and is compared with the final result. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYRisk The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 55.4%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance 1X · 81.1%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Prediction review
Post-match · Confirmed result3 - 2
Published probability52.4%
Pick resultCorrect
Final-score rank in pre-match top 5Not in the published pre-match top 5
Verified pre-match markets
BTTS Yes51.9%Correct
Over 2.5 goals50.2%Correct
Double chance 1X81.1%Correct
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formAdvantage Alianza Atletico
Goal profileRather open
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceModerate
Published pre-match projection
Alianza Atletico52.4%Draw28.7%
UTC Cajamarca18.9%Published pre-match predictionAlianza Atletico
1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence55.4%
Verified pre-match markets
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 81.1% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | Alianza Atletico | 73.5% | Solid |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 50.2% | Neutral |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.9% | Neutral |
| Total goals | Under 3.5 | 75.6% | Solid |
What the model projected
Pre-match projected goals3.38Alianza Atletico
Total xG3.95
Pre-match projected goals0.57UTC Cajamarca
Under 2.5 probability49.8%
BTTS No probability48.1%
Pre-match top 5 likely scores
2 - 112.7%1 - 012.2%1 - 111.1%0 - 010.7%2 - 07.5%
Advanced scenarios
Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca39%
Clean sheet19.7%
26.7%
Win by 2 goals or more5%
Pre-match comparison
Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca8thCurrent position16th
1571Elo1374
WWDWLForm (last 5)LLLDL
2.0Goals scored / match (5)1.0
1.2Goals conceded / match (5)2.6
20.0Clean sheets (5)0.0
Prediction reliability
This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
29.2%
29.2% correct predictions
over 48 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca?
The model gives Alianza Atletico a slight edge at 52.4%. Caution is still required.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 2 - 1 (12.67%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 51.9% and BTTS No at 48.1%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance 1X stands at 81.1%, without being certain.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca
This Peruvian Liga 1 fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Alianza Atletico sits 8th and UTC Cajamarca 16th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1571 for Alianza Atletico and 1374 for UTC Cajamarca.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 66.7% for Alianza Atletico and 6.7% for UTC Cajamarca. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
Before the match, Foresportia's analysis estimated that the 1X2 probabilities gave Alianza Atletico 52.4%, the draw 28.7% and UTC Cajamarca 18.9%. Before the match, the model projected 3.38 xG against 0.57, for a combined 3.95. Before the match, the most likely score according to Foresportia was 2–1 at 12.7%.