Premier Division · Scheduled

First AI projection for Waterford vs Derry City

First AI projection for this Premier Division fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

Follow Waterford vs Derry City and today's matchesAll Premier Division predictions
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Waterford

Standing#8

Elo rating1562

Form index73.3%

Last 5 matches
WWDDW

Expected goals1.22

ScheduledVS

Derry City

Standing#6

Elo rating1560

Form index53.3%

Last 5 matches
WDLWD

Expected goals1.64

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy scheduleLate-season contextRanking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Derry City at 44.6%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 73.3%
  • Likely score1 - 2 (13.19%)
  • BTTSYes · 62.1%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 60.2%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Waterford26.7%
Draw28.7%
Derry City44.6%

Main pickDerry City44.6%

Confidence13.7%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Waterford1.22
Expected total2.86
Derry City1.64
60.2%Over 2.5

Over 60.2% Under 39.8%

62.1%BTTS

Yes 62.1% No 37.9%

Double chance

Available markets

1X55.4%
X273.3%
1271.3%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 2 — 13.2%
  2. Likely score 1 - 1 — 10.1%
  3. Likely score 2 - 1 — 9.5%
  4. Likely score 0 - 1 — 8.4%
  5. Likely score 0 - 0 — 7.9%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Waterford 18.4%Derry City 27.3%

Draw no bet

Waterford 37.4%Derry City 62.6%

Win to nil

Waterford 10.6%Derry City 19.4%

Win by 2+ goals

Waterford 9.5%Derry City 21.8%

Waterford vs Derry City early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Waterford vs Derry City?

The early estimate gives Derry City a slight edge at 44.6%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 2 (13.19%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Premier Division

What the data says about Waterford vs Derry City

This Premier Division fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Waterford sits 8th and Derry City 6th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1562 for Waterford and 1560 for Derry City.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 73.3% for Waterford and 53.3% for Derry City. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Waterford 26.7%, the draw 28.7% and Derry City 44.6%. The expected-goals model projects 1.22 xG against 1.64, for a combined 2.86.