Premier Division · Scheduled

First AI projection for Shelbourne vs Derry City

First AI projection for this Premier Division fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Shelbourne

Standing#5

Elo rating1503

Form index26.7%

Last 5 matches
LLWDL

Expected goals1.29

ScheduledVS

Derry City

Standing#6

Elo rating1560

Form index53.3%

Last 5 matches
WDLWD

Expected goals1.33

Match context to watch
Draw closeLine-ups to watchBusy scheduleLate-season context

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Derry City at 34.8%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 66.9%
  • Likely score1 - 2 (12.24%)
  • BTTSYes · 60.8%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 55%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Shelbourne33.1%
Draw32.1%
Derry City34.8%

Main pickDerry City34.8%

Confidence10.4%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Shelbourne1.29
Expected total2.62
Derry City1.33
55%Over 2.5

Over 55% Under 45%

60.8%BTTS

Yes 60.8% No 39.2%

Double chance

Available markets

1X65.2%
X266.9%
1267.9%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 212.2%
  2. Likely score 1 - 112%
  3. Likely score 2 - 111.8%
  4. Likely score 0 - 09.9%
  5. Likely score 0 - 18.2%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Shelbourne 24.1%Derry City 25%

Draw no bet

Shelbourne 48.7%Derry City 51.3%

Win to nil

Shelbourne 14.2%Derry City 15.1%

Win by 2+ goals

Shelbourne 12.4%Derry City 13.6%

Shelbourne vs Derry City early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Shelbourne vs Derry City?

The early estimate gives Derry City a slight edge at 34.8%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 2 (12.24%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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Premier Division

What the data says about Shelbourne vs Derry City

This Premier Division fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Shelbourne sits 5th and Derry City 6th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1503 for Shelbourne and 1560 for Derry City.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 26.7% for Shelbourne and 53.3% for Derry City. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Shelbourne 33.1%, the draw 32.1% and Derry City 34.8%. The expected-goals model projects 1.29 xG against 1.33, for a combined 2.62.