Premier Division · Full time

Prediction for Dundalk vs Waterford

Premier Division AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Dundalk

Standing#4

Elo rating1540

Form index86.7%

Last 5 matches
WWWDW

Expected goals2.46

Full time2 - 3June 26, 2026
20:45

Waterford

Standing#10

Elo rating1458

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
LWDLW

Expected goals1.17

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Dundalk at 51.2%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 77.3%
  • Likely score2 - 1 (9.38%)
  • BTTSYes · 60.8%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 60.4%

1X2 probabilities

Dundalk51.2%
Draw26.1%
Waterford22.7%

Main pickDundalk51.2%

Confidence63%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Dundalk2.46
Expected total3.63
Waterford1.17
60.4%Over 2.5

Over 60.4% Under 39.6%

60.8%BTTS

Yes 60.8% No 39.2%

Double chance

Available markets

1X77.3%
X248.8%
1273.9%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 2 - 19.4%
  2. Likely score 2 - 08%
  3. Likely score 3 - 17.7%
  4. Likely score 1 - 17.6%
  5. Likely score 3 - 06.6%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Dundalk 31%Waterford 8.5%

Draw no bet

Dundalk 69.2%Waterford 30.8%

Win to nil

Dundalk 28.3%Waterford 5.9%

Win by 2+ goals

Dundalk 44%Waterford 6.2%
Post-match review · Final score2 - 3

Verified predictionIncorrect

Dundalk vs Waterford prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Dundalk vs Waterford?

The model sees an open match and gives Dundalk a slight edge at 51.2%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 2 - 1 (9.38%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 60.8% and BTTS No at 39.2%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 77.3%, without being certain.

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Premier Division

What the data says about Dundalk vs Waterford

This Premier Division fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Dundalk sits 4th and Waterford 10th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1540 for Dundalk and 1458 for Waterford.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 86.7% for Dundalk and 46.7% for Waterford. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Dundalk 51.2%, the draw 26.1% and Waterford 22.7%. The expected-goals model projects 2.46 xG against 1.17, for a combined 3.63.