Dundalk
Standing#4
Elo rating1519
Form index66.7%
Expected goals2.44
20:45
Drogheda United
Standing#8
Elo rating1425
Form index20%
Expected goals1.03
Quick read
- Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Dundalk at 46.8%, so caution is advised.
- Confidence levelRisk
- Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 74.4%
- Likely score2 - 1 (9.55%)
- BTTSYes · 59.7%
- Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 57.4%
First AI projection
This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.
Main pickDundalk46.8%
Confidence22.2%
StabilityRisk
Expected goals and trends
Over 57.4% Under 42.6%
Yes 59.7% No 40.3%
Double chance
Available markets
Top 5 likely scores
- Likely score 2 - 1 — 9.6%
- Likely score 2 - 0 — 9.2%
- Likely score 1 - 1 — 7.8%
- Likely score 3 - 1 — 7.8%
- Likely score 1 - 0 — 7.6%
Advanced scenarios
Clean sheet
Draw no bet
Win to nil
Win by 2+ goals
Dundalk vs Drogheda United early projection FAQ
What does the first AI projection say about Dundalk vs Drogheda United?
The early estimate gives Dundalk a slight edge at 46.8%. This probability may change before the match.
Why can this estimate change?
Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.
Is an early likely score available?
The first calculated scenario is 2 - 1 (9.55%), but this is an early estimate that may change.
More football tools and analysis
Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.
Premier Division
What the data says about Dundalk vs Drogheda United
This Premier Division fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Dundalk sits 4th and Drogheda United 8th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1519 for Dundalk and 1425 for Drogheda United.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 66.7% for Dundalk and 20% for Drogheda United. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
The 1X2 projection gives Dundalk 46.8%, the draw 27.7% and Drogheda United 25.6%. The expected-goals model projects 2.44 xG against 1.03, for a combined 3.47.