Premier Division · Scheduled

First AI projection for Drogheda United vs Dundalk

First AI projection for this Premier Division fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Drogheda United

Standing#9

Elo rating1478

Form index40%

Last 5 matches
DDDWL

Expected goals1.40

ScheduledVS

Dundalk

Standing#4

Elo rating1511

Form index13.3%

Last 5 matches
LDDLL

Expected goals1.39

Match context to watch
Relegation pressureDraw closeLate-season contextRanking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Drogheda United at 35.3%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 65.3%
  • Likely score2 - 1 (11.70%)
  • BTTSYes · 62%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 58.9%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Drogheda United35.3%
Draw30%
Dundalk34.7%

Main pickDrogheda United35.3%

Confidence12%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Drogheda United1.40
Expected total2.79
Dundalk1.39
58.9%Over 2.5

Over 58.9% Under 41.1%

62%BTTS

Yes 62% No 38%

Double chance

Available markets

1X65.3%
X264.7%
1270%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 2 - 111.7%
  2. Likely score 1 - 211.6%
  3. Likely score 1 - 110.4%
  4. Likely score 0 - 08.4%
  5. Likely score 1 - 07.5%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Drogheda United 23.4%Dundalk 23.1%

Draw no bet

Drogheda United 50.5%Dundalk 49.5%

Win to nil

Drogheda United 15%Dundalk 14.6%

Win by 2+ goals

Drogheda United 14.8%Dundalk 14.4%

Drogheda United vs Dundalk early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Drogheda United vs Dundalk?

The early estimate gives Drogheda United a slight edge at 35.3%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 2 - 1 (11.70%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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Premier Division

What the data says about Drogheda United vs Dundalk

This Premier Division fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Drogheda United sits 9th and Dundalk 4th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1478 for Drogheda United and 1511 for Dundalk.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 40% for Drogheda United and 13.3% for Dundalk. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Drogheda United 35.3%, the draw 30% and Dundalk 34.7%. The expected-goals model projects 1.40 xG against 1.39, for a combined 2.79.