
Drogheda United
Standing#9
Elo rating1478
Form index40%
Expected goals1.40

Dundalk
Standing#4
Elo rating1511
Form index13.3%
Expected goals1.39
Quick read
- Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Drogheda United at 35.3%, so caution is advised.
- Confidence levelRisk
- Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 65.3%
- Likely score2 - 1 (11.70%)
- BTTSYes · 62%
- Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 58.9%
First AI projection
This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.
Main pickDrogheda United35.3%
Confidence12%
StabilityRisk
Expected goals and trends
Over 58.9% Under 41.1%
Yes 62% No 38%
Double chance
Available markets
Top 5 likely scores
- Likely score 2 - 1 — 11.7%
- Likely score 1 - 2 — 11.6%
- Likely score 1 - 1 — 10.4%
- Likely score 0 - 0 — 8.4%
- Likely score 1 - 0 — 7.5%
Advanced scenarios
Clean sheet
Draw no bet
Win to nil
Win by 2+ goals
Drogheda United vs Dundalk early projection FAQ
What does the first AI projection say about Drogheda United vs Dundalk?
The early estimate gives Drogheda United a slight edge at 35.3%. This probability may change before the match.
Why can this estimate change?
Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.
Is an early likely score available?
The first calculated scenario is 2 - 1 (11.70%), but this is an early estimate that may change.
More football tools and analysis
Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.
Premier Division
What the data says about Drogheda United vs Dundalk
This Premier Division fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Drogheda United sits 9th and Dundalk 4th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1478 for Drogheda United and 1511 for Dundalk.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 40% for Drogheda United and 13.3% for Dundalk. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
The 1X2 projection gives Drogheda United 35.3%, the draw 30% and Dundalk 34.7%. The expected-goals model projects 1.40 xG against 1.39, for a combined 2.79.