Derry City
Standing#6
Elo rating1521
Form index46.7%
Expected goals2.66
20:45
Waterford
Standing#10
Elo rating1480
Form index46.7%
Expected goals0.71
Quick read
- Main predictionEdge for Derry City at 58.4%, with no guarantee of the outcome.
- Confidence levelCorrect
- Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 83.6%
- Likely score2 - 0 (12.15%)
- BTTSYes · 55.7%
- Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 56.9%
1X2 probabilities
AI prediction updated with the latest available data.
Main pickDerry City58.4%
Confidence80.1%
StabilityCorrect
Expected goals and trends
Over 56.9% Under 43.1%
Yes 55.7% No 44.3%
Double chance
Available markets
Top 5 likely scores
- Likely score 2 - 0 — 12.2%
- Likely score 3 - 0 — 10.8%
- Likely score 1 - 0 — 9.1%
- Likely score 2 - 1 — 8.6%
- Likely score 3 - 1 — 7.7%
Advanced scenarios
Clean sheet
Draw no bet
Win to nil
Win by 2+ goals
Derry City vs Waterford prediction FAQ
What is the prediction for Derry City vs Waterford?
The model gives Derry City the edge at 58.4%, with no certainty about the final result.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 2 - 0 (12.15%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 55.7% and BTTS No at 44.3%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance 1X stands at 83.6%, without being certain.
More football tools and analysis
Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.
Premier Division
What the data says about Derry City vs Waterford
This Premier Division fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Derry City sits 6th and Waterford 10th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1521 for Derry City and 1480 for Waterford.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for Derry City and 46.7% for Waterford. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
The 1X2 projection gives Derry City 58.4%, the draw 25.2% and Waterford 16.4%. The expected-goals model projects 2.66 xG against 0.71, for a combined 3.37.