Premier Division · Scheduled

First AI projection for Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers

First AI projection for this Premier Division fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Derry City

Standing#6

Elo rating1560

Form index53.3%

Last 5 matches
WDLWD

Expected goals1.22

ScheduledVS

Shamrock Rovers

Standing#1

Elo rating1642

Form index73.3%

Last 5 matches
WDWWD

Expected goals1.46

Match context to watch
Draw closeLine-ups to watchBusy scheduleEuropean fixture nearbyLate-season context

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Shamrock Rovers at 39.8%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 70.9%
  • Likely score1 - 2 (13.10%)
  • BTTSYes · 61.1%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 56.4%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Derry City29.1%
Draw31.1%
Shamrock Rovers39.8%

Main pickShamrock Rovers39.8%

Confidence11.2%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Derry City1.22
Expected total2.68
Shamrock Rovers1.46
56.4%Over 2.5

Over 56.4% Under 43.6%

61.1%BTTS

Yes 61.1% No 38.9%

Double chance

Available markets

1X60.2%
X270.9%
1268.9%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 213.1%
  2. Likely score 1 - 111.5%
  3. Likely score 2 - 110.6%
  4. Likely score 0 - 09.3%
  5. Likely score 0 - 18.6%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Derry City 21.4%Shamrock Rovers 26.7%

Draw no bet

Derry City 42.3%Shamrock Rovers 57.7%

Win to nil

Derry City 12.1%Shamrock Rovers 17.5%

Win by 2+ goals

Derry City 10.3%Shamrock Rovers 17.2%

Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers?

The early estimate gives Shamrock Rovers a slight edge at 39.8%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 2 (13.10%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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Premier Division

What the data says about Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers

This Premier Division fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Derry City sits 6th and Shamrock Rovers 1st in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1560 for Derry City and 1642 for Shamrock Rovers.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 53.3% for Derry City and 73.3% for Shamrock Rovers. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Derry City 29.1%, the draw 31.1% and Shamrock Rovers 39.8%. The expected-goals model projects 1.22 xG against 1.46, for a combined 2.68.