Derry City
Standing#6
Elo rating1507
Form index33.3%
Expected goals2.56
20:45
Drogheda United
Standing#8
Elo rating1439
Form index20%
Expected goals0.64
Quick read
- Main predictionEdge for Derry City at 54.5%, with no guarantee of the outcome.
- Confidence levelCorrect
- Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 81.6%
- Likely score2 - 0 (13.30%)
- BTTSYes · 54.8%
- Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 53.7%
1X2 probabilities
Main pickDerry City54.5%
Confidence71.2%
StabilityCorrect
Expected goals and trends
Over 53.7% Under 46.3%
Yes 54.8% No 45.2%
Double chance
Available markets
Top 5 likely scores
- Likely score 2 - 0 — 13.3%
- Likely score 3 - 0 — 11.4%
- Likely score 1 - 0 — 10.4%
- Likely score 2 - 1 — 8.6%
- Likely score 3 - 1 — 7.3%
Advanced scenarios
Clean sheet
Draw no bet
Win to nil
Win by 2+ goals
Verified predictionCorrect
Derry City vs Drogheda United prediction FAQ
What is the prediction for Derry City vs Drogheda United?
The model gives Derry City the edge at 54.5%, with no certainty about the final result.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 2 - 0 (13.30%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 54.8% and BTTS No at 45.2%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance 1X stands at 81.6%, without being certain.
More football tools and analysis
Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.
Premier Division
What the data says about Derry City vs Drogheda United
This Premier Division fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Derry City sits 6th and Drogheda United 8th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1507 for Derry City and 1439 for Drogheda United.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 33.3% for Derry City and 20% for Drogheda United. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
The 1X2 projection gives Derry City 54.5%, the draw 27.1% and Drogheda United 18.4%. The expected-goals model projects 2.56 xG against 0.64, for a combined 3.21.