Premier Division · Scheduled

Prediction for Bohemians vs Derry City

Premier Division AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Bohemians

Standing#3

Elo rating1577

Form index66.7%

Last 5 matches
LDWWW

Expected goals1.43

ScheduledVS

Derry City

Standing#6

Elo rating1560

Form index53.3%

Last 5 matches
WDLWD

Expected goals1.33

Match context to watch
Draw close

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Bohemians at 37.2%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 67.5%
  • Likely score2 - 1 (12.23%)
  • BTTSYes · 61.7%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 58.2%

1X2 probabilities

AI prediction updated with the latest available data.

Bohemians37.2%
Draw30.3%
Derry City32.5%

Main pickBohemians37.2%

Confidence12.5%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Bohemians1.43
Expected total2.76
Derry City1.33
58.2%Over 2.5

Over 58.2% Under 41.8%

61.7%BTTS

Yes 61.7% No 38.3%

Double chance

Available markets

1X67.5%
X262.8%
1269.7%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 2 - 112.2%
  2. Likely score 1 - 211.2%
  3. Likely score 1 - 110.7%
  4. Likely score 0 - 08.7%
  5. Likely score 1 - 07.9%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Bohemians 24.7%Derry City 22.3%

Draw no bet

Bohemians 53.4%Derry City 46.6%

Win to nil

Bohemians 16%Derry City 13.6%

Win by 2+ goals

Bohemians 15.9%Derry City 12.8%

Bohemians vs Derry City prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Bohemians vs Derry City?

The model sees an open match and gives Bohemians a slight edge at 37.2%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 2 - 1 (12.23%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 61.7% and BTTS No at 38.3%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 67.5%, without being certain.

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Premier Division

What the data says about Bohemians vs Derry City

This Premier Division fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Bohemians sits 3rd and Derry City 6th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1577 for Bohemians and 1560 for Derry City.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 66.7% for Bohemians and 53.3% for Derry City. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Bohemians 37.2%, the draw 30.3% and Derry City 32.5%. The expected-goals model projects 1.43 xG against 1.33, for a combined 2.76.