Villarreal CF
Standing#3
Elo rating1605
Form index46.7%
Expected goals2.95
21:00
Atlético de Madrid
Standing#4
Elo rating1628
Form index80%
Expected goals1.70
Quick read
- Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Atlético de Madrid at 38.7%, so caution is advised.
- Confidence levelRisk
- Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 65.9%
- Likely score2 - 1 (7.06%)
- BTTSYes · 64.2%
- Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 61.4%
1X2 probabilities
Main pickAtlético de Madrid38.7%
Confidence25.3%
StabilityRisk
Expected goals and trends
Over 61.4% Under 38.6%
Yes 64.2% No 35.8%
Double chance
Available markets
Top 5 likely scores
- Likely score 2 - 1 — 7.1%
- Likely score 3 - 1 — 7%
- Likely score 2 - 2 — 6%
- Likely score 3 - 2 — 5.9%
- Likely score 4 - 1 — 5.1%
Advanced scenarios
Clean sheet
Draw no bet
Win to nil
Win by 2+ goals
Verified predictionIncorrect
Villarreal CF vs Atlético de Madrid prediction FAQ
What is the prediction for Villarreal CF vs Atlético de Madrid?
The model sees an open match and gives Atlético de Madrid a slight edge at 38.7%; caution is appropriate.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 2 - 1 (7.06%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 64.2% and BTTS No at 35.8%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance X2 stands at 65.9%, without being certain.
More football tools and analysis
Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.
La Liga
What the data says about Villarreal CF vs Atlético de Madrid
This La Liga fixture can be read through ball control, chance quality and each team's ability to manage difficult spells.
Before kick-off, Villarreal CF sits 3rd and Atlético de Madrid 4th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1605 for Villarreal CF and 1628 for Atlético de Madrid.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for Villarreal CF and 80% for Atlético de Madrid. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
The 1X2 projection gives Villarreal CF 34.1%, the draw 27.2% and Atlético de Madrid 38.7%. The expected-goals model projects 2.95 xG against 1.70, for a combined 4.65.