La Liga · Scheduled

Prediction for Atlético de Madrid vs Villarreal CF

La Liga AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

Advertising placement — local preview, ads hidden for this account

Atlético de Madrid

Standing#6

Elo rating1585

Form index60%

Last 5 matches
LWWLW

Expected goals1.95

ScheduledVS

Villarreal CF

Standing#5

Elo rating1604

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
WLLDW

Expected goals1.37

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Atlético de Madrid at 50%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 73.5%
  • Likely score2 - 1 (10.88%)
  • BTTSYes · 65.3%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 66.1%

1X2 probabilities

AI prediction updated with the latest available data.

Atlético de Madrid50%
Draw23.5%
Villarreal CF26.5%

Main pickAtlético de Madrid50%

Confidence67.8%

StabilityRisk

Advertising placement — local preview, ads hidden for this account

Expected goals and trends

Atlético de Madrid1.95
Expected total3.32
Villarreal CF1.37
66.1%Over 2.5

Over 66.1% Under 33.9%

65.3%BTTS

Yes 65.3% No 34.7%

Double chance

Available markets

1X73.5%
X250%
1276.5%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 2 - 110.9%
  2. Likely score 1 - 18.6%
  3. Likely score 1 - 27.5%
  4. Likely score 1 - 07.2%
  5. Likely score 2 - 26.4%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Atlético de Madrid 25.2%Villarreal CF 15%

Draw no bet

Atlético de Madrid 65.3%Villarreal CF 34.7%

Win to nil

Atlético de Madrid 19.7%Villarreal CF 9.5%

Win by 2+ goals

Atlético de Madrid 27.5%Villarreal CF 10.4%

Atlético de Madrid vs Villarreal CF prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Atlético de Madrid vs Villarreal CF?

The model sees an open match and gives Atlético de Madrid a slight edge at 50%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 2 - 1 (10.88%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 65.3% and BTTS No at 34.7%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 73.5%, without being certain.

Advertising placement — local preview, ads hidden for this account

La Liga

What the data says about Atlético de Madrid vs Villarreal CF

This La Liga fixture can be read through ball control, chance quality and each team's ability to manage difficult spells.

Before kick-off, Atlético de Madrid sits 6th and Villarreal CF 5th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1585 for Atlético de Madrid and 1604 for Villarreal CF.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 60% for Atlético de Madrid and 46.7% for Villarreal CF. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Atlético de Madrid 50%, the draw 23.5% and Villarreal CF 26.5%. The expected-goals model projects 1.95 xG against 1.37, for a combined 3.32.