Athletic Bilbao
Standing#12
Elo rating1482
Form index26.7%
Expected goals1.23
Atlético de Madrid
Standing#6
Elo rating1585
Form index60%
Expected goals1.57
Quick read
- Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Atlético de Madrid at 43.4%, so caution is advised.
- Confidence levelRisk
- Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 71.4%
- Likely score1 - 2 (11.28%)
- BTTSYes · 59.4%
- Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 56.2%
First AI projection
This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.
Main pickAtlético de Madrid43.4%
Confidence38.5%
StabilityRisk
Expected goals and trends
Over 56.2% Under 43.8%
Yes 59.4% No 40.6%
Double chance
Available markets
Top 5 likely scores
- Likely score 1 - 2 — 11.3%
- Likely score 1 - 1 — 10.9%
- Likely score 0 - 1 — 9.1%
- Likely score 2 - 1 — 8.7%
- Likely score 0 - 0 — 8.2%
Advanced scenarios
Clean sheet
Draw no bet
Win to nil
Win by 2+ goals
Athletic Bilbao vs Atlético de Madrid early projection FAQ
What does the first AI projection say about Athletic Bilbao vs Atlético de Madrid?
The early estimate gives Atlético de Madrid a slight edge at 43.4%. This probability may change before the match.
Why can this estimate change?
Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.
Is an early likely score available?
The first calculated scenario is 1 - 2 (11.28%), but this is an early estimate that may change.
More football tools and analysis
Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.
La Liga
What the data says about Athletic Bilbao vs Atlético de Madrid
This La Liga fixture can be read through ball control, chance quality and each team's ability to manage difficult spells.
Before kick-off, Athletic Bilbao sits 12th and Atlético de Madrid 6th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1482 for Athletic Bilbao and 1585 for Atlético de Madrid.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 26.7% for Athletic Bilbao and 60% for Atlético de Madrid. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
The 1X2 projection gives Athletic Bilbao 28.6%, the draw 28% and Atlético de Madrid 43.4%. The expected-goals model projects 1.23 xG against 1.57, for a combined 2.80.