UD Almería
Standing#3
Elo rating1586
Form index53.3%
Expected goals1.95
21:00
Málaga CF
Standing#4
Elo rating1642
Form index60%
Expected goals2.21
Quick read
- Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for UD Almería at 44%, so caution is advised.
- Confidence levelRisk
- Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 71.8%
- Likely score1 - 2 (7.42%)
- BTTSYes · 60.4%
- Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 56%
1X2 probabilities
Main pickUD Almería44%
Confidence72.9%
StabilityRisk
Expected goals and trends
Over 56% Under 44%
Yes 60.4% No 39.6%
Double chance
Available markets
Top 5 likely scores
- Likely score 1 - 2 — 7.4%
- Likely score 2 - 2 — 7.2%
- Likely score 1 - 1 — 6.7%
- Likely score 2 - 1 — 6.5%
- Likely score 1 - 3 — 5.5%
Advanced scenarios
Clean sheet
Draw no bet
Win to nil
Win by 2+ goals
Verified predictionIncorrect
UD Almería vs Málaga CF prediction FAQ
What is the prediction for UD Almería vs Málaga CF?
The model sees an open match and gives UD Almería a slight edge at 44%; caution is appropriate.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 1 - 2 (7.42%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 60.4% and BTTS No at 39.6%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance 1X stands at 71.8%, without being certain.
More football tools and analysis
Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.
La Liga 2
What the data says about UD Almería vs Málaga CF
This La Liga 2 fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, UD Almería sits 3rd and Málaga CF 4th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1586 for UD Almería and 1642 for Málaga CF.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 53.3% for UD Almería and 60% for Málaga CF. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
The 1X2 projection gives UD Almería 44%, the draw 27.8% and Málaga CF 28.2%. The expected-goals model projects 1.95 xG against 2.21, for a combined 4.17.