Relative strengthAdvantage UD Las Palmas
Prediction for Cádiz CF vs UD Las Palmas
Cádiz CFView team →DDDLW28.3%Cádiz CF
31.9%Draw
39.9%UD Las Palmas
UD Las PalmasView team →DLWWDVERDICTUD Las Palmas slight favourite
Foresportia's analysis estimates that UD Las Palmas has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The models give UD Las Palmas a slight edge, but the gap is not large enough to form a strong signal. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance X2 at 71.7%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYRisk The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 37.6%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance X2 · 71.7%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formSlight edge for UD Las Palmas
Goal profileIntermediate goal profile
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceLow
Probabilities & verdict
Cádiz CF28.3%Draw31.9%
UD Las Palmas39.9%Main pickUD Las Palmas
1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence37.6%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | X2 | 71.7% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | UD Las Palmas | 58.5% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 51.7% | Neutral |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Under 3.5 | 73.9% | Solid |
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)1.16Cádiz CF
Total xG2.58
Expected goals (xG)1.42UD Las Palmas
Under 2.5 probability48.3%
BTTS No probability44.6%
Top 5 likely scores
1 - 111.2%1 - 211.2%0 - 010.1%0 - 110.1%2 - 19%
Advanced scenarios
Cádiz CFUD Las Palmas24.2%
Clean sheet30.6%
14%
Win to nil20.4%
10.7%
Win by 2 goals or more18.2%
Team comparison
17thCurrent position5th
1384Elo1543
DDDLWForm (last 5)DLWWD
1.4Goals scored / match (5)1.4
1.4Goals conceded / match (5)1.4
40.0Clean sheets (5)40.0
Prediction reliability
This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
44.9%
44.9% correct predictions
over 788 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for Cádiz CF vs UD Las Palmas?
The Foresportia model gives UD Las Palmas a slight edge at 39.9%. Caution is still required.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 1 - 1 (11.19%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 55.4% and BTTS No at 44.6%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance X2 stands at 71.7%, without being certain.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about Cádiz CF vs UD Las Palmas
This La Liga 2 fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Cádiz CF sits 17th and UD Las Palmas 5th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1384 for Cádiz CF and 1543 for UD Las Palmas.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 40% for Cádiz CF and 53.3% for UD Las Palmas. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives Cádiz CF 28.3%, the draw 31.9% and UD Las Palmas 39.9%. The expected-goals model projects 1.16 xG against 1.42, for a combined 2.58. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 1–1 at 11.2%.