Relative strengthAdvantage Burgos CF
Prediction for Burgos CF vs AD Ceuta FC
Burgos CFView team →DLWWW52%Burgos CF
28.4%Draw
19.6%AD Ceuta FC
AD Ceuta FCView team →LLLLWVERDICTBurgos CF slight favourite
Foresportia's analysis estimates that Burgos CF has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The models give Burgos CF a slight edge, but the gap is not large enough to form a strong signal. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance 1X at 80.4%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYCorrect The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 55.2%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance 1X · 80.4%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formAdvantage Burgos CF
Goal profileIntermediate goal profile
Signal stabilityModerate
Model confidenceModerate
Probabilities & verdict
Burgos CF52%Draw28.4%
AD Ceuta FC19.6%Main pickBurgos CF
1X2 STABILITYCorrect
Model confidence55.2%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 80.4% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | Burgos CF | 72.7% | Solid |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 51% | Neutral |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.7% | Neutral |
| Total goals | Under 3.5 | 74.4% | Solid |
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)1.62Burgos CF
Total xG2.56
Expected goals (xG)0.94AD Ceuta FC
Under 2.5 probability49%
BTTS No probability47.3%
Top 5 likely scores
2 - 112.4%1 - 011.8%1 - 111%0 - 010.2%2 - 07.4%
Advanced scenarios
Burgos CFAD Ceuta FC37.7%
Clean sheet19.8%
27.4%
Win to nil9.6%
26.2%
Win by 2 goals or more5.7%
Team comparison
12thCurrent position22nd
1546Elo1413
DLWWWForm (last 5)LLLLW
1.6Goals scored / match (5)0.4
1.0Goals conceded / match (5)2.4
40.0Clean sheets (5)20.0
Prediction reliability
The signal has an intermediate stability level and should still be read alongside the match context.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCECorrect profile
79.2%
79.2% correct predictions
over 183 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for Burgos CF vs AD Ceuta FC?
The Foresportia model gives Burgos CF a slight edge at 52%. Caution is still required.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 2 - 1 (12.36%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 52.7% and BTTS No at 47.3%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance 1X stands at 80.4%, without being certain.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about Burgos CF vs AD Ceuta FC
This La Liga 2 fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Burgos CF sits 12th and AD Ceuta FC 22nd in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1546 for Burgos CF and 1413 for AD Ceuta FC.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 66.7% for Burgos CF and 20% for AD Ceuta FC. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives Burgos CF 52%, the draw 28.4% and AD Ceuta FC 19.6%. The expected-goals model projects 1.62 xG against 0.94, for a combined 2.56. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 2–1 at 12.4%.