K League 1 · Scheduled

Prediction for Gwangju FC vs Ulsan HD FC

K League 1 AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Gwangju FC

Standing#12

Elo rating1344

Form index6.7%

Last 5 matches
LLDLL

Expected goals0.71

ScheduledVSJuly 5, 2026
12:30

Ulsan HD FC

Standing#2

Elo rating1485

Form index60%

Last 5 matches
LWWWL

Expected goals1.89

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Ulsan HD FC at 56.9%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 82.5%
  • Likely score0 - 1 (14.01%)
  • BTTSYes · 58.1%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 59.4%

1X2 probabilities

AI prediction updated with the latest available data.

Gwangju FC17.6%
Draw25.6%
Ulsan HD FC56.9%

Main pickUlsan HD FC56.9%

Confidence56%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Gwangju FC0.71
Expected total2.60
Ulsan HD FC1.89
59.4%Over 2.5

Over 59.4% Under 40.6%

58.1%BTTS

Yes 58.1% No 41.9%

Double chance

Available markets

1X43.1%
X282.5%
1274.4%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 0 - 114%
  2. Likely score 0 - 213.2%
  3. Likely score 1 - 110%
  4. Likely score 1 - 29.4%
  5. Likely score 0 - 38.3%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Gwangju FC 15.2%Ulsan HD FC 49%

Draw no bet

Gwangju FC 23.6%Ulsan HD FC 76.4%

Win to nil

Gwangju FC 7.6%Ulsan HD FC 41.5%

Win by 2+ goals

Gwangju FC 3.6%Ulsan HD FC 39.5%

Gwangju FC vs Ulsan HD FC prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Gwangju FC vs Ulsan HD FC?

The model sees an open match and gives Ulsan HD FC a slight edge at 56.9%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 0 - 1 (14.01%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 58.1% and BTTS No at 41.9%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance X2 stands at 82.5%, without being certain.

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K League 1

What the data says about Gwangju FC vs Ulsan HD FC

This K League 1 fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Gwangju FC sits 12th and Ulsan HD FC 2nd in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1344 for Gwangju FC and 1485 for Ulsan HD FC.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 6.7% for Gwangju FC and 60% for Ulsan HD FC. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Gwangju FC 17.6%, the draw 25.6% and Ulsan HD FC 56.9%. The expected-goals model projects 0.71 xG against 1.89, for a combined 2.60.