K League 1 · Scheduled

First AI projection for Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu

First AI projection for this K League 1 fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Gwangju FC

Standing#12

Elo rating1344

Form index6.7%

Last 5 matches
LLDLL

Expected goals0.62

ScheduledVSJuly 22, 2026
12:30

Gimcheon Sangmu

Standing#11

Elo rating1475

Form index26.7%

Last 5 matches
LDLLW

Expected goals2.59

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Gimcheon Sangmu at 51.3%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 78.5%
  • Likely score0 - 2 (13.60%)
  • BTTSYes · 58.2%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 56.9%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Gwangju FC21.5%
Draw27.2%
Gimcheon Sangmu51.3%

Main pickGimcheon Sangmu51.3%

Confidence44.3%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Gwangju FC0.62
Expected total3.20
Gimcheon Sangmu2.59
56.9%Over 2.5

Over 56.9% Under 43.1%

58.2%BTTS

Yes 58.2% No 41.8%

Double chance

Available markets

1X48.7%
X278.5%
1272.8%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 0 - 213.6%
  2. Likely score 0 - 311.7%
  3. Likely score 0 - 110.5%
  4. Likely score 1 - 28.4%
  5. Likely score 0 - 47.6%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Gwangju FC 7.6%Gimcheon Sangmu 53.9%

Draw no bet

Gwangju FC 29.6%Gimcheon Sangmu 70.4%

Win to nil

Gwangju FC 3.4%Gimcheon Sangmu 49.8%

Win by 2+ goals

Gwangju FC 1.6%Gimcheon Sangmu 58.3%

Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

The early estimate gives Gimcheon Sangmu a slight edge at 51.3%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 0 - 2 (13.60%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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K League 1

What the data says about Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu

This K League 1 fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Gwangju FC sits 12th and Gimcheon Sangmu 11th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1344 for Gwangju FC and 1475 for Gimcheon Sangmu.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 6.7% for Gwangju FC and 26.7% for Gimcheon Sangmu. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Gwangju FC 21.5%, the draw 27.2% and Gimcheon Sangmu 51.3%. The expected-goals model projects 0.62 xG against 2.59, for a combined 3.20.