J1 League · Scheduled

First AI projection for V-varen Nagasaki vs FC Tokyo

First AI projection for this J1 League fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

Follow V-varen Nagasaki vs FC Tokyo and today's matchesAll J1 League predictions
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V-varen Nagasaki

Standing#10

Elo rating1481

Form index60%

Last 5 matches
LWWWL

Expected goals1.18

ScheduledVS

FC Tokyo

Standing#17

Elo rating1522

Form index13.3%

Last 5 matches
DLLDL

Expected goals1.26

Match context to watch
Draw closeRanking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for FC Tokyo at 35.7%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 68%
  • Likely score1 - 1 (12.93%)
  • BTTSYes · 54.4%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 52.5%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

V-varen Nagasaki32%
Draw32.3%
FC Tokyo35.7%

Main pickFC Tokyo35.7%

Confidence26.8%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

V-varen Nagasaki1.18
Expected total2.44
FC Tokyo1.26
47.5%Over 2.5

Over 47.5% Under 52.5%

54.4%BTTS

Yes 54.4% No 45.6%

Double chance

Available markets

1X64.3%
X268%
1267.7%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 1 — 12.9%
  2. Likely score 0 - 0 — 11.3%
  3. Likely score 1 - 2 — 10.3%
  4. Likely score 0 - 1 — 10%
  5. Likely score 2 - 1 — 9.6%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

V-varen Nagasaki 27.4%FC Tokyo 29.5%

Draw no bet

V-varen Nagasaki 47.3%FC Tokyo 52.7%

Win to nil

V-varen Nagasaki 16.1%FC Tokyo 18.2%

Win by 2+ goals

V-varen Nagasaki 11.9%FC Tokyo 14.2%

V-varen Nagasaki vs FC Tokyo early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about V-varen Nagasaki vs FC Tokyo?

The early estimate gives FC Tokyo a slight edge at 35.7%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 1 (12.93%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

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What the data says about V-varen Nagasaki vs FC Tokyo

This J1 League fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, V-varen Nagasaki sits 10th and FC Tokyo 17th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1481 for V-varen Nagasaki and 1522 for FC Tokyo.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 60% for V-varen Nagasaki and 13.3% for FC Tokyo. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives V-varen Nagasaki 32%, the draw 32.3% and FC Tokyo 35.7%. The expected-goals model projects 1.18 xG against 1.26, for a combined 2.44.