Relative strengthAdvantage Vissel Kobe
Prediction for Tokyo Verdy vs Vissel Kobe
Tokyo VerdyView team →LDLDL19.6%Tokyo Verdy
31.3%Draw
49.1%Vissel Kobe
Vissel KobeView team →WLDWLVERDICTVissel Kobe slight favourite
Foresportia's analysis estimates that Vissel Kobe has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The models give Vissel Kobe a slight edge, but the gap is not large enough to form a strong signal. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance X2 at 80.3%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYRisk The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 48.7%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance X2 · 80.3%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formAdvantage Vissel Kobe
Goal profileRather low-scoring
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceModerate
Probabilities & verdict
Tokyo Verdy19.6%Draw31.3%
Vissel Kobe49.1%Main pickVissel Kobe
1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence48.7%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | X2 | 80.3% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | Vissel Kobe | 71.4% | Solid |
| Total goals | Under 2.5 | 54.5% | Neutral |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.3% | Neutral |
| Total goals | Under 3.5 | 79.3% | Solid |
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)0.86Tokyo Verdy
Total xG2.34
Expected goals (xG)1.47Vissel Kobe
Under 2.5 probability54.5%
BTTS No probability50.3%
Top 5 likely scores
0 - 113.2%1 - 112.3%1 - 212.3%0 - 012.2%0 - 27.6%
Advanced scenarios
Tokyo VerdyVissel Kobe22.4%
Clean sheet40.1%
10.2%
Win to nil27.9%
5.2%
Win by 2 goals or more23.3%
Team comparison
19thCurrent position6th
1436Elo1582
LDLDLForm (last 5)WLDWL
0.8Goals scored / match (5)0.8
2.0Goals conceded / match (5)1.0
20.0Clean sheets (5)40.0
Prediction reliability
This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
47.3%
47.3% correct predictions
over 482 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy vs Vissel Kobe?
The Foresportia model gives Vissel Kobe a slight edge at 49.1%. Caution is still required.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 0 - 1 (13.20%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 49.7% and BTTS No at 50.3%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance X2 stands at 80.3%, without being certain.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about Tokyo Verdy vs Vissel Kobe
This J1 League fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Tokyo Verdy sits 19th and Vissel Kobe 6th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1436 for Tokyo Verdy and 1582 for Vissel Kobe.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 13.3% for Tokyo Verdy and 46.7% for Vissel Kobe. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives Tokyo Verdy 19.6%, the draw 31.3% and Vissel Kobe 49.1%. The expected-goals model projects 0.86 xG against 1.47, for a combined 2.34. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 0–1 at 13.2%.