Relative strengthAdvantage Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce HiroshimaView team →DDWWW51.3%Sanfrecce Hiroshima
28.8%Draw
19.9%Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya GrampusView team →WWLLLVERDICTSanfrecce Hiroshima slight favourite
Foresportia's analysis estimates that Sanfrecce Hiroshima has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The models give Sanfrecce Hiroshima a slight edge, but the gap is not large enough to form a strong signal. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance 1X at 80%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYCorrect The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 53.2%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance 1X · 80%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formAdvantage Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Goal profileIntermediate goal profile
Signal stabilityModerate
Model confidenceModerate
Probabilities & verdict
Sanfrecce Hiroshima51.3%Draw28.8%
Nagoya Grampus19.9%Main pickSanfrecce Hiroshima
1X2 STABILITYCorrect
Model confidence53.2%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 80% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 72% | Solid |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 50.5% | Neutral |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.7% | Neutral |
| Total goals | Under 3.5 | 75.2% | Solid |
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)1.60Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Total xG2.53
Expected goals (xG)0.93Nagoya Grampus
Under 2.5 probability49.5%
BTTS No probability47.3%
Top 5 likely scores
2 - 112.6%1 - 012%1 - 111.4%0 - 010.3%2 - 07.4%
Advanced scenarios
Sanfrecce HiroshimaNagoya Grampus37.8%
Clean sheet19.8%
27.5%
Win to nil9.6%
25.8%
Win by 2 goals or more5.6%
Team comparison
4thCurrent position8th
1614Elo1517
DDWWWForm (last 5)WWLLL
1.8Goals scored / match (5)1.4
0.4Goals conceded / match (5)1.4
60.0Clean sheets (5)0.0
Prediction reliability
The signal has an intermediate stability level and should still be read alongside the match context.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCECorrect profile
68.3%
68.3% correct predictions
over 82 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?
The Foresportia model gives Sanfrecce Hiroshima a slight edge at 51.3%. Caution is still required.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 2 - 1 (12.63%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 52.7% and BTTS No at 47.3%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance 1X stands at 80%, without being certain.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus
This J1 League fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Sanfrecce Hiroshima sits 4th and Nagoya Grampus 8th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1614 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 1517 for Nagoya Grampus.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 73.3% for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 40% for Nagoya Grampus. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives Sanfrecce Hiroshima 51.3%, the draw 28.8% and Nagoya Grampus 19.9%. The expected-goals model projects 1.60 xG against 0.93, for a combined 2.53. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 2–1 at 12.6%.