J1 League · Full time

Fagiano Okayama vs V-varen Nagasaki: final result and verified AI prediction

J1 League AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Fagiano Okayama

Standing#9

Elo rating1512

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
LWDLW

Pre-match projected goals1.71

Full time1 - 0

V-varen Nagasaki

Standing#10

Elo rating1492

Form index66.7%

Last 5 matches
WWWLD

Pre-match projected goals0.78

Post-match · Confirmed result1 - 0

Prediction review

Main pick
Fagiano Okayama
Pick result
Correct
Published probability
37.9%
Final-score rank in pre-match top 5
#3

Verified pre-match markets

  • BTTS Yes53.4%Incorrect
  • Under 2.5 goals53.8%Correct
  • Double chance 1X70.4%Correct
Match context to watch
Draw closeLine-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Fagiano Okayama at 37.9%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 70.4%
  • Likely score1 - 1 (13.18%)
  • BTTSYes · 53.4%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 53.8%

Published pre-match 1X2 probabilities

Fagiano Okayama37.9%
Draw32.5%
V-varen Nagasaki29.6%

Published pre-match predictionFagiano Okayama37.9%

Confidence40.9%

StabilityRisk

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Pre-match projected goals and trends

Fagiano Okayama1.71
Pre-match projected total2.49
V-varen Nagasaki0.78
46.2%Over 2.5

Over 46.2% Under 53.8%

53.4%BTTS

Yes 53.4% No 46.6%

Double chance

Available markets

1X70.4%
X262.1%
1267.5%

Pre-match top 5 likely scores

  1. Pre-match likely score 1 - 113.2%
  2. Pre-match likely score 0 - 011.8%
  3. Pre-match likely score 1 - 010.7%
  4. Pre-match likely score 2 - 110.7%
  5. Pre-match likely score 0 - 19.1%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Fagiano Okayama 31.6%V-varen Nagasaki 26.9%

Draw no bet

Fagiano Okayama 56.1%V-varen Nagasaki 43.9%

Win by 2+ goals

Fagiano Okayama 15.4%V-varen Nagasaki 10.3%

Fagiano Okayama vs V-varen Nagasaki prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs V-varen Nagasaki?

The model sees an open match and gives Fagiano Okayama a slight edge at 37.9%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 1 (13.18%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 53.4% and BTTS No at 46.6%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 70.4%, without being certain.

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J1 League

What the data says about Fagiano Okayama vs V-varen Nagasaki

This J1 League fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Fagiano Okayama sits 9th and V-varen Nagasaki 10th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1512 for Fagiano Okayama and 1492 for V-varen Nagasaki.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for Fagiano Okayama and 66.7% for V-varen Nagasaki. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Fagiano Okayama 37.9%, the draw 32.5% and V-varen Nagasaki 29.6%. Before the match, the model projected 1.71 xG against 0.78, for a combined 2.49.