UEFA Europa League · Scheduled

First AI projection for Vestri vs Qarabag

First AI projection for this UEFA Europa League fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Vestri

Standing

Elo rating1500

Form index

Last 5 matches

Expected goals1.50

ScheduledVSJuly 16, 2026
22:00

Qarabag

Standing

Elo rating1500

Form index

Last 5 matches

Expected goals0.37

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Vestri at 48.8%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 78.5%
  • Likely score1 - 0 (23.03%)
  • BTTSYes · 50%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 50%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Vestri48.8%
Draw29.7%
Qarabag21.5%

Main pickVestri48.8%

Confidence74.5%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Vestri1.50
Expected total1.88
Qarabag0.37
50%Over 2.5

Over 50% Under 50%

50%BTTS

Yes 50% No 50%

Double chance

Available markets

1X78.5%
X251.2%
1270.3%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 023%
  2. Likely score 2 - 017.3%
  3. Likely score 0 - 015.3%
  4. Likely score 3 - 08.7%
  5. Likely score 1 - 18.6%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Vestri 68.8%Qarabag 22.3%

Draw no bet

Vestri 69.4%Qarabag 30.6%

Win to nil

Vestri 53.5%Qarabag 6.9%

Win by 2+ goals

Vestri 35.7%Qarabag 1.4%

Vestri vs Qarabag early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Vestri vs Qarabag?

The early estimate gives Vestri a slight edge at 48.8%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 0 (23.03%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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UEFA Europa League

What the data says about Vestri vs Qarabag

This UEFA Europa League fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

The 1X2 projection gives Vestri 48.8%, the draw 29.7% and Qarabag 21.5%. The expected-goals model projects 1.50 xG against 0.37, for a combined 1.88.