UEFA Europa League · Scheduled

First AI projection for Derry City vs CSKA Sofia

First AI projection for this UEFA Europa League fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Derry City

Standing—

Elo rating1500

Form index—

Last 5 matches
—

Expected goals1.50

ScheduledVSJuly 16, 2026
19:30

CSKA Sofia

Standing—

Elo rating1500

Form index—

Last 5 matches
—

Expected goals1.17

Match context to watch
Draw closeLine-ups to watchEuropean fixture nearby

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for CSKA Sofia at 40.1%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 74.7%
  • Likely score1 - 1 (12.14%)
  • BTTSYes · 50%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 50%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Derry City25.3%
Draw34.6%
CSKA Sofia40.1%

Main pickCSKA Sofia40.1%

Confidence62.5%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Derry City1.50
Expected total2.68
CSKA Sofia1.17
50%Over 2.5

Over 50% Under 50%

50%BTTS

Yes 50% No 50%

Double chance

Available markets

1X59.9%
X274.7%
1265.4%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 1 — 12.1%
  2. Likely score 1 - 0 — 10.3%
  3. Likely score 2 - 1 — 9.1%
  4. Likely score 0 - 1 — 8.1%
  5. Likely score 2 - 0 — 7.8%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Derry City 30.9%CSKA Sofia 22.3%

Draw no bet

Derry City 38.7%CSKA Sofia 61.3%

Win to nil

Derry City 24%CSKA Sofia 15.4%

Win by 2+ goals

Derry City 22.2%CSKA Sofia 12%

Derry City vs CSKA Sofia early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Derry City vs CSKA Sofia?

The early estimate gives CSKA Sofia a slight edge at 40.1%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 1 (12.14%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

UEFA Europa League

What the data says about Derry City vs CSKA Sofia

This UEFA Europa League fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

The 1X2 projection gives Derry City 25.3%, the draw 34.6% and CSKA Sofia 40.1%. The expected-goals model projects 1.50 xG against 1.17, for a combined 2.68.