Eredivisie · Scheduled

Prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior Rotterdam

Eredivisie AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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NEC Nijmegen

Standing#8

Elo rating1570

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
WLWLD

Expected goals1.84

ScheduledVS

Excelsior Rotterdam

Standing#1

Elo rating1520

Form index66.7%

Last 5 matches
LWWDW

Expected goals1.11

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy scheduleEuropean fixture nearbyRanking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for NEC Nijmegen at 51.3%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 77.6%
  • Likely score2 - 1 (13.90%)
  • BTTSYes · 62.1%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 61.8%

1X2 probabilities

AI prediction updated with the latest available data.

NEC Nijmegen51.3%
Draw26.3%
Excelsior Rotterdam22.4%

Main pickNEC Nijmegen51.3%

Confidence71.2%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

NEC Nijmegen1.84
Expected total2.95
Excelsior Rotterdam1.11
61.8%Over 2.5

Over 61.8% Under 38.2%

62.1%BTTS

Yes 62.1% No 37.9%

Double chance

Available markets

1X77.6%
X248.7%
1273.7%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 2 - 113.9%
  2. Likely score 1 - 19.9%
  3. Likely score 1 - 08.7%
  4. Likely score 1 - 27.8%
  5. Likely score 0 - 07.1%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

NEC Nijmegen 30%Excelsior Rotterdam 15%

Draw no bet

NEC Nijmegen 69.6%Excelsior Rotterdam 30.4%

Win to nil

NEC Nijmegen 22.9%Excelsior Rotterdam 7.9%

Win by 2+ goals

NEC Nijmegen 28.1%Excelsior Rotterdam 6.5%

NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior Rotterdam prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior Rotterdam?

The model sees an open match and gives NEC Nijmegen a slight edge at 51.3%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 2 - 1 (13.90%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 62.1% and BTTS No at 37.9%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 77.6%, without being certain.

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Eredivisie

What the data says about NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior Rotterdam

This Eredivisie fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, NEC Nijmegen sits 8th and Excelsior Rotterdam 1st in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1570 for NEC Nijmegen and 1520 for Excelsior Rotterdam.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for NEC Nijmegen and 66.7% for Excelsior Rotterdam. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives NEC Nijmegen 51.3%, the draw 26.3% and Excelsior Rotterdam 22.4%. The expected-goals model projects 1.84 xG against 1.11, for a combined 2.95.