Eredivisie · Scheduled

Prediction for Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar

Eredivisie AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Fortuna Sittard

Standing#11

Elo rating1475

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
WDLWL

Expected goals1.06

ScheduledVS

AZ Alkmaar

Standing#4

Elo rating1564

Form index60%

Last 5 matches
WWDDD

Expected goals1.76

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for AZ Alkmaar at 51.1%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 78.5%
  • Likely score1 - 2 (14.53%)
  • BTTSYes · 61.2%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 59.1%

1X2 probabilities

AI prediction updated with the latest available data.

Fortuna Sittard21.6%
Draw27.4%
AZ Alkmaar51.1%

Main pickAZ Alkmaar51.1%

Confidence49.8%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Fortuna Sittard1.06
Expected total2.82
AZ Alkmaar1.76
59.1%Over 2.5

Over 59.1% Under 40.9%

61.2%BTTS

Yes 61.2% No 38.8%

Double chance

Available markets

1X48.9%
X278.5%
1272.6%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 214.5%
  2. Likely score 1 - 111%
  3. Likely score 0 - 19.3%
  4. Likely score 0 - 08%
  5. Likely score 2 - 17.8%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Fortuna Sittard 15.7%AZ Alkmaar 31.1%

Draw no bet

Fortuna Sittard 29.7%AZ Alkmaar 70.3%

Win to nil

Fortuna Sittard 7.7%AZ Alkmaar 23.1%

Win by 2+ goals

Fortuna Sittard 5.8%AZ Alkmaar 26.7%

Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar?

The model sees an open match and gives AZ Alkmaar a slight edge at 51.1%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 2 (14.53%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 61.2% and BTTS No at 38.8%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance X2 stands at 78.5%, without being certain.

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Eredivisie

What the data says about Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar

This Eredivisie fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Fortuna Sittard sits 11th and AZ Alkmaar 4th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1475 for Fortuna Sittard and 1564 for AZ Alkmaar.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for Fortuna Sittard and 60% for AZ Alkmaar. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Fortuna Sittard 21.6%, the draw 27.4% and AZ Alkmaar 51.1%. The expected-goals model projects 1.06 xG against 1.76, for a combined 2.82.