
Fortuna Sittard
Standing#11
Elo rating1475
Form index46.7%
Expected goals1.06

AZ Alkmaar
Standing#4
Elo rating1564
Form index60%
Expected goals1.76
Quick read
- Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for AZ Alkmaar at 51.1%, so caution is advised.
- Confidence levelRisk
- Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 78.5%
- Likely score1 - 2 (14.53%)
- BTTSYes · 61.2%
- Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 59.1%
1X2 probabilities
AI prediction updated with the latest available data.
Main pickAZ Alkmaar51.1%
Confidence49.8%
StabilityRisk
Expected goals and trends
Over 59.1% Under 40.9%
Yes 61.2% No 38.8%
Double chance
Available markets
Top 5 likely scores
- Likely score 1 - 2 — 14.5%
- Likely score 1 - 1 — 11%
- Likely score 0 - 1 — 9.3%
- Likely score 0 - 0 — 8%
- Likely score 2 - 1 — 7.8%
Advanced scenarios
Clean sheet
Draw no bet
Win to nil
Win by 2+ goals
Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar prediction FAQ
What is the prediction for Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar?
The model sees an open match and gives AZ Alkmaar a slight edge at 51.1%; caution is appropriate.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 1 - 2 (14.53%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 61.2% and BTTS No at 38.8%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance X2 stands at 78.5%, without being certain.
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Eredivisie
What the data says about Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar
This Eredivisie fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Fortuna Sittard sits 11th and AZ Alkmaar 4th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1475 for Fortuna Sittard and 1564 for AZ Alkmaar.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for Fortuna Sittard and 60% for AZ Alkmaar. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
The 1X2 projection gives Fortuna Sittard 21.6%, the draw 27.4% and AZ Alkmaar 51.1%. The expected-goals model projects 1.06 xG against 1.76, for a combined 2.82.