Eredivisie · Scheduled

First AI projection for Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Amsterdam

First AI projection for this Eredivisie fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Fortuna Sittard

Standing#11

Elo rating1489

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
WDLWL

Expected goals0.93

ScheduledVS

Ajax Amsterdam

Standing#3

Elo rating1618

Form index53.3%

Last 5 matches
WDWDL

Expected goals1.95

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy scheduleRanking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionEdge for Ajax Amsterdam at 58.6%, with no guarantee of the outcome.
  • Confidence levelCorrect
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 84.4%
  • Likely score1 - 2 (15.29%)
  • BTTSYes · 60.5%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 59.9%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Fortuna Sittard15.6%
Draw25.8%
Ajax Amsterdam58.6%

Main pickAjax Amsterdam58.6%

Confidence64.7%

StabilityCorrect

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Expected goals and trends

Fortuna Sittard0.93
Expected total2.88
Ajax Amsterdam1.95
59.9%Over 2.5

Over 59.9% Under 40.1%

60.5%BTTS

Yes 60.5% No 39.5%

Double chance

Available markets

1X41.4%
X284.4%
1274.2%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 2 — 15.3%
  2. Likely score 1 - 1 — 11.2%
  3. Likely score 0 - 1 — 9.7%
  4. Likely score 1 - 3 — 8.4%
  5. Likely score 0 - 0 — 7.3%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Fortuna Sittard 12.6%Ajax Amsterdam 34.3%

Draw no bet

Fortuna Sittard 21%Ajax Amsterdam 79%

Win to nil

Fortuna Sittard 5.2%Ajax Amsterdam 27%

Win by 2+ goals

Fortuna Sittard 3.2%Ajax Amsterdam 33.5%

Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Amsterdam early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Amsterdam?

The early estimate gives Ajax Amsterdam a slight edge at 58.6%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 2 (15.29%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Eredivisie

What the data says about Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Amsterdam

This Eredivisie fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Fortuna Sittard sits 11th and Ajax Amsterdam 3rd in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1489 for Fortuna Sittard and 1618 for Ajax Amsterdam.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for Fortuna Sittard and 53.3% for Ajax Amsterdam. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Fortuna Sittard 15.6%, the draw 25.8% and Ajax Amsterdam 58.6%. The expected-goals model projects 0.93 xG against 1.95, for a combined 2.88.