Eredivisie · Full time

FC Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar: final result and verified AI prediction

Eredivisie AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

Follow FC Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar and today's matchesAll Eredivisie predictions
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FC Utrecht

Standing#13

Elo rating1577

Form index66.7%

Last 5 matches
LDWWW

Pre-match projected goals2.70

Full time1 - 4

AZ Alkmaar

Standing#4

Elo rating1564

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
WDDDD

Pre-match projected goals0.41

Post-match · Confirmed result1 - 4

Prediction review

Main pick
AZ Alkmaar
Pick result
Correct
Published probability
36.2%
Final-score rank in pre-match top 5
Not in the published pre-match top 5

Verified pre-match markets

  • BTTS Yes61.4%Correct
  • Over 2.5 goals57.1%Correct
  • Double chance 1270.3%Correct
Match context to watch
Draw closeLine-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for AZ Alkmaar at 36.2%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 65.9%
  • Likely score1 - 2 (12.08%)
  • BTTSYes · 61.4%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 57.1%

Published pre-match 1X2 probabilities

FC Utrecht34.1%
Draw29.7%
AZ Alkmaar36.2%

Published pre-match predictionAZ Alkmaar36.2%

Confidence16.1%

StabilityRisk

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Pre-match projected goals and trends

FC Utrecht2.70
Pre-match projected total3.11
AZ Alkmaar0.41
57.1%Over 2.5

Over 57.1% Under 42.9%

61.4%BTTS

Yes 61.4% No 38.6%

Double chance

Available markets

1X63.8%
X265.9%
1270.3%

Pre-match top 5 likely scores

  1. Pre-match likely score 1 - 2 — 12.1%
  2. Pre-match likely score 2 - 1 — 11.6%
  3. Pre-match likely score 1 - 1 — 11.1%
  4. Pre-match likely score 0 - 0 — 9.1%
  5. Pre-match likely score 0 - 1 — 7.9%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

FC Utrecht 23.3%AZ Alkmaar 24.4%

Draw no bet

FC Utrecht 48.5%AZ Alkmaar 51.5%

Win by 2+ goals

FC Utrecht 13.1%AZ Alkmaar 14.6%

FC Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for FC Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar?

The model sees an open match and gives AZ Alkmaar a slight edge at 36.2%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 2 (12.08%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 61.4% and BTTS No at 38.6%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance X2 stands at 65.9%, without being certain.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Eredivisie

What the data says about FC Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar

This Eredivisie fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, FC Utrecht sits 13th and AZ Alkmaar 4th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1577 for FC Utrecht and 1564 for AZ Alkmaar.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 66.7% for FC Utrecht and 46.7% for AZ Alkmaar. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives FC Utrecht 34.1%, the draw 29.7% and AZ Alkmaar 36.2%. Before the match, the model projected 2.70 xG against 0.41, for a combined 3.11.