Eredivisie · Scheduled

First AI projection for FC Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard

First AI projection for this Eredivisie fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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FC Groningen

Standing#5

Elo rating1538

Form index60%

Last 5 matches
WLWWL

Expected goals1.41

ScheduledVS

Fortuna Sittard

Standing#11

Elo rating1489

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
WDLWL

Expected goals1.18

Match context to watch
Draw close

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for FC Groningen at 39.7%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 70.8%
  • Likely score2 - 1 (13.37%)
  • BTTSYes · 60.5%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 54.2%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

FC Groningen39.7%
Draw31.1%
Fortuna Sittard29.2%

Main pickFC Groningen39.7%

Confidence50.6%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

FC Groningen1.41
Expected total2.59
Fortuna Sittard1.18
54.2%Over 2.5

Over 54.2% Under 45.8%

60.5%BTTS

Yes 60.5% No 39.5%

Double chance

Available markets

1X70.8%
X260.3%
1268.9%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 2 - 113.4%
  2. Likely score 1 - 112.4%
  3. Likely score 1 - 210.7%
  4. Likely score 0 - 010.1%
  5. Likely score 1 - 09%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

FC Groningen 27.6%Fortuna Sittard 22%

Draw no bet

FC Groningen 57.6%Fortuna Sittard 42.4%

Win to nil

FC Groningen 17.5%Fortuna Sittard 11.9%

Win by 2+ goals

FC Groningen 16.4%Fortuna Sittard 9.4%

FC Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about FC Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard?

The early estimate gives FC Groningen a slight edge at 39.7%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 2 - 1 (13.37%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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Eredivisie

What the data says about FC Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard

This Eredivisie fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, FC Groningen sits 5th and Fortuna Sittard 11th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1538 for FC Groningen and 1489 for Fortuna Sittard.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 60% for FC Groningen and 46.7% for Fortuna Sittard. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives FC Groningen 39.7%, the draw 31.1% and Fortuna Sittard 29.2%. The expected-goals model projects 1.41 xG against 1.18, for a combined 2.59.