Eredivisie · Scheduled

First AI projection for Excelsior Rotterdam vs Sparta Rotterdam

First AI projection for this Eredivisie fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Excelsior Rotterdam

Standing#1

Elo rating1510

Form index66.7%

Last 5 matches
LWWDW

Expected goals1.30

ScheduledVS

Sparta Rotterdam

Standing#9

Elo rating1486

Form index26.7%

Last 5 matches
WLLLD

Expected goals1.37

Match context to watch
Draw closeLine-ups to watchBusy scheduleRanking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Sparta Rotterdam at 36.3%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 66.5%
  • Likely score1 - 2 (12.28%)
  • BTTSYes · 61.1%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 56.1%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Excelsior Rotterdam33.5%
Draw30.2%
Sparta Rotterdam36.3%

Main pickSparta Rotterdam36.3%

Confidence15.8%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Excelsior Rotterdam1.30
Expected total2.67
Sparta Rotterdam1.37
56.1%Over 2.5

Over 56.1% Under 43.9%

61.1%BTTS

Yes 61.1% No 38.9%

Double chance

Available markets

1X63.7%
X266.5%
1269.8%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 2 — 12.3%
  2. Likely score 2 - 1 — 11.6%
  3. Likely score 1 - 1 — 11.6%
  4. Likely score 0 - 0 — 9.5%
  5. Likely score 0 - 1 — 8.1%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Excelsior Rotterdam 23.4%Sparta Rotterdam 25%

Draw no bet

Excelsior Rotterdam 47.9%Sparta Rotterdam 52.1%

Win to nil

Excelsior Rotterdam 13.9%Sparta Rotterdam 15.5%

Win by 2+ goals

Excelsior Rotterdam 12.4%Sparta Rotterdam 14.5%

Excelsior Rotterdam vs Sparta Rotterdam early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Excelsior Rotterdam vs Sparta Rotterdam?

The early estimate gives Sparta Rotterdam a slight edge at 36.3%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 2 (12.28%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Eredivisie

What the data says about Excelsior Rotterdam vs Sparta Rotterdam

This Eredivisie fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Excelsior Rotterdam sits 1st and Sparta Rotterdam 9th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1510 for Excelsior Rotterdam and 1486 for Sparta Rotterdam.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 66.7% for Excelsior Rotterdam and 26.7% for Sparta Rotterdam. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Excelsior Rotterdam 33.5%, the draw 30.2% and Sparta Rotterdam 36.3%. The expected-goals model projects 1.30 xG against 1.37, for a combined 2.67.