Eredivisie · Full time

Excelsior Rotterdam vs PSV Eindhoven: final result and verified AI prediction

Eredivisie AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Excelsior Rotterdam

Standing#1

Elo rating1520

Form index86.7%

Last 5 matches
WWDWW

Pre-match projected goals1.36

Full time1 - 2

PSV Eindhoven

Standing#12

Elo rating1705

Form index73.3%

Last 5 matches
DWWDW

Pre-match projected goals2.25

Post-match · Confirmed result1 - 2

Prediction review

Main pick
PSV Eindhoven
Pick result
Correct
Published probability
66%
Final-score rank in pre-match top 5
#1

Verified pre-match markets

  • BTTS Yes62.6%Correct
  • Over 2.5 goals68.9%Correct
  • Double chance X286.1%Correct
Match context to watch
Ranking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionEdge for PSV Eindhoven at 66%, with no guarantee of the outcome.
  • Confidence levelCorrect
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 86.1%
  • Likely score1 - 2 (13.06%)
  • BTTSYes · 62.6%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 68.9%

Published pre-match 1X2 probabilities

Excelsior Rotterdam13.9%
Draw20.1%
PSV Eindhoven66%

Published pre-match predictionPSV Eindhoven66%

Confidence79.6%

StabilityCorrect

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Pre-match projected goals and trends

Excelsior Rotterdam1.36
Pre-match projected total3.61
PSV Eindhoven2.25
68.9%Over 2.5

Over 68.9% Under 31.1%

62.6%BTTS

Yes 62.6% No 37.4%

Double chance

Available markets

1X34%
X286.1%
1279.9%

Pre-match top 5 likely scores

  1. Pre-match likely score 1 - 213.1%
  2. Pre-match likely score 1 - 39.2%
  3. Pre-match likely score 1 - 18.3%
  4. Pre-match likely score 0 - 17.7%
  5. Pre-match likely score 0 - 37.4%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Excelsior Rotterdam 8.5%PSV Eindhoven 33.4%

Draw no bet

Excelsior Rotterdam 17.4%PSV Eindhoven 82.6%

Win by 2+ goals

Excelsior Rotterdam 3%PSV Eindhoven 44.3%

Excelsior Rotterdam vs PSV Eindhoven prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Excelsior Rotterdam vs PSV Eindhoven?

The model gives PSV Eindhoven the edge at 66%, with no certainty about the final result.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 2 (13.06%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 62.6% and BTTS No at 37.4%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance X2 stands at 86.1%, without being certain.

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Eredivisie

What the data says about Excelsior Rotterdam vs PSV Eindhoven

This Eredivisie fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Excelsior Rotterdam sits 1st and PSV Eindhoven 12th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1520 for Excelsior Rotterdam and 1705 for PSV Eindhoven.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 86.7% for Excelsior Rotterdam and 73.3% for PSV Eindhoven. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Excelsior Rotterdam 13.9%, the draw 20.1% and PSV Eindhoven 66%. Before the match, the model projected 1.36 xG against 2.25, for a combined 3.61.