Eredivisie · Scheduled

First AI projection for Excelsior Rotterdam vs FC Utrecht

First AI projection for this Eredivisie fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Excelsior Rotterdam

Standing#1

Elo rating1510

Form index66.7%

Last 5 matches
LWWDW

Expected goals1.21

ScheduledVS

FC Utrecht

Standing#13

Elo rating1544

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
LLDWW

Expected goals1.59

Match context to watch
Ranking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for FC Utrecht at 43.7%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 72%
  • Likely score1 - 2 (13.30%)
  • BTTSYes · 61.8%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 59%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Excelsior Rotterdam28%
Draw28.2%
FC Utrecht43.7%

Main pickFC Utrecht43.7%

Confidence43.5%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Excelsior Rotterdam1.21
Expected total2.81
FC Utrecht1.59
59%Over 2.5

Over 59% Under 41%

61.8%BTTS

Yes 61.8% No 38.2%

Double chance

Available markets

1X56.3%
X272%
1271.8%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 213.3%
  2. Likely score 1 - 110.5%
  3. Likely score 2 - 19.7%
  4. Likely score 0 - 18.6%
  5. Likely score 0 - 08.3%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Excelsior Rotterdam 19.1%FC Utrecht 27.4%

Draw no bet

Excelsior Rotterdam 39.1%FC Utrecht 60.9%

Win to nil

Excelsior Rotterdam 10.8%FC Utrecht 19.1%

Win by 2+ goals

Excelsior Rotterdam 9.4%FC Utrecht 20.8%

Excelsior Rotterdam vs FC Utrecht early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Excelsior Rotterdam vs FC Utrecht?

The early estimate gives FC Utrecht a slight edge at 43.7%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 2 (13.30%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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Eredivisie

What the data says about Excelsior Rotterdam vs FC Utrecht

This Eredivisie fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Excelsior Rotterdam sits 1st and FC Utrecht 13th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1510 for Excelsior Rotterdam and 1544 for FC Utrecht.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 66.7% for Excelsior Rotterdam and 46.7% for FC Utrecht. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Excelsior Rotterdam 28%, the draw 28.2% and FC Utrecht 43.7%. The expected-goals model projects 1.21 xG against 1.59, for a combined 2.81.