Ajax Amsterdam
Standing#5
Elo rating1593
Form index53.3%
Expected goals2.62
12:15
FC Utrecht
Standing#6
Elo rating1589
Form index80%
Expected goals1.18
Quick read
- Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Ajax Amsterdam at 50.2%, so caution is advised.
- Confidence levelRisk
- Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 77.6%
- Likely score2 - 1 (9.04%)
- BTTSYes · 55.5%
- Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 52.9%
1X2 probabilities
Main pickAjax Amsterdam50.2%
Confidence74.5%
StabilityRisk
Expected goals and trends
Over 52.9% Under 47.1%
Yes 55.5% No 44.5%
Double chance
Available markets
Top 5 likely scores
- Likely score 2 - 1 — 9%
- Likely score 3 - 1 — 7.9%
- Likely score 2 - 0 — 7.6%
- Likely score 1 - 1 — 6.9%
- Likely score 3 - 0 — 6.7%
Advanced scenarios
Clean sheet
Draw no bet
Win to nil
Win by 2+ goals
Verified predictionIncorrect
Ajax Amsterdam vs FC Utrecht prediction FAQ
What is the prediction for Ajax Amsterdam vs FC Utrecht?
The model sees an open match and gives Ajax Amsterdam a slight edge at 50.2%; caution is appropriate.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 2 - 1 (9.04%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 55.5% and BTTS No at 44.5%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance 1X stands at 77.6%, without being certain.
More football tools and analysis
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Eredivisie
What the data says about Ajax Amsterdam vs FC Utrecht
This Eredivisie fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Ajax Amsterdam sits 5th and FC Utrecht 6th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1593 for Ajax Amsterdam and 1589 for FC Utrecht.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 53.3% for Ajax Amsterdam and 80% for FC Utrecht. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
The 1X2 projection gives Ajax Amsterdam 50.2%, the draw 27.4% and FC Utrecht 22.4%. The expected-goals model projects 2.62 xG against 1.18, for a combined 3.81.