Eliteserien · Scheduled

First AI projection for Lillestrøm SK vs Fredrikstad FK

First AI projection for this Eliteserien fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Lillestrøm SK

Standing#4

Elo rating1523

Form index26.7%

Last 5 matches
DLLLW

Expected goals1.14

ScheduledVS

Fredrikstad FK

Standing#11

Elo rating1491

Form index40%

Last 5 matches
WWLLL

Expected goals1.09

Match context to watch
Draw closeRanking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Lillestrøm SK at 35%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 67.6%
  • Likely score1 - 1 (13.93%)
  • BTTSYes · 50.8%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 57.9%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Lillestrøm SK35%
Draw32.6%
Fredrikstad FK32.4%

Main pickLillestrøm SK35%

Confidence45.2%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Lillestrøm SK1.14
Expected total2.23
Fredrikstad FK1.09
42.1%Over 2.5

Over 42.1% Under 57.9%

50.8%BTTS

Yes 50.8% No 49.2%

Double chance

Available markets

1X67.6%
X265%
1267.4%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 113.9%
  2. Likely score 0 - 013.8%
  3. Likely score 1 - 010.9%
  4. Likely score 0 - 110.4%
  5. Likely score 2 - 19.8%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Lillestrøm SK 32.3%Fredrikstad FK 30.8%

Draw no bet

Lillestrøm SK 51.9%Fredrikstad FK 48.1%

Win to nil

Lillestrøm SK 18.4%Fredrikstad FK 17%

Win by 2+ goals

Lillestrøm SK 12.4%Fredrikstad FK 10.9%

Lillestrøm SK vs Fredrikstad FK early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Lillestrøm SK vs Fredrikstad FK?

The early estimate gives Lillestrøm SK a slight edge at 35%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 1 (13.93%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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Eliteserien

What the data says about Lillestrøm SK vs Fredrikstad FK

This Eliteserien fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Lillestrøm SK sits 4th and Fredrikstad FK 11th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1523 for Lillestrøm SK and 1491 for Fredrikstad FK.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 26.7% for Lillestrøm SK and 40% for Fredrikstad FK. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Lillestrøm SK 35%, the draw 32.6% and Fredrikstad FK 32.4%. The expected-goals model projects 1.14 xG against 1.09, for a combined 2.23.