Eliteserien · Scheduled

First AI projection for Fredrikstad FK vs Lillestrøm SK

First AI projection for this Eliteserien fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

Follow Fredrikstad FK vs Lillestrøm SK and today's matchesAll Eliteserien predictions
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Fredrikstad FK

Standing#10

Elo rating1498

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
WDWLL

Expected goals1.40

ScheduledVSJuly 11, 2026
14:00

Lillestrøm SK

Standing#4

Elo rating1528

Form index40%

Last 5 matches
LLWLW

Expected goals0.78

Match context to watch
Draw closeRanking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Fredrikstad FK at 40.3%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 71.7%
  • Likely score1 - 0 (15.82%)
  • BTTSYes · 52.6%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 54.5%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Fredrikstad FK40.3%
Draw31.4%
Lillestrøm SK28.3%

Main pickFredrikstad FK40.3%

Confidence68.5%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Fredrikstad FK1.40
Expected total2.18
Lillestrøm SK0.78
45.5%Over 2.5

Over 45.5% Under 54.5%

52.6%BTTS

Yes 52.6% No 47.4%

Double chance

Available markets

1X71.7%
X259.7%
1268.6%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 0 — 15.8%
  2. Likely score 1 - 1 — 12.4%
  3. Likely score 0 - 0 — 11.3%
  4. Likely score 2 - 0 — 11.1%
  5. Likely score 0 - 1 — 8.8%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Fredrikstad FK 45.9%Lillestrøm SK 24.7%

Draw no bet

Fredrikstad FK 58.8%Lillestrøm SK 41.2%

Win to nil

Fredrikstad FK 34.7%Lillestrøm SK 13.5%

Win by 2+ goals

Fredrikstad FK 25.4%Lillestrøm SK 6.3%

Fredrikstad FK vs Lillestrøm SK early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Fredrikstad FK vs Lillestrøm SK?

The early estimate gives Fredrikstad FK a slight edge at 40.3%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 0 (15.82%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Eliteserien

What the data says about Fredrikstad FK vs Lillestrøm SK

This Eliteserien fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Fredrikstad FK sits 10th and Lillestrøm SK 4th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1498 for Fredrikstad FK and 1528 for Lillestrøm SK.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for Fredrikstad FK and 40% for Lillestrøm SK. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Fredrikstad FK 40.3%, the draw 31.4% and Lillestrøm SK 28.3%. The expected-goals model projects 1.40 xG against 0.78, for a combined 2.18.