Eliteserien · Scheduled

First AI projection for Aalesunds FK vs Molde FK

First AI projection for this Eliteserien fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Aalesunds FK

Standing#13

Elo rating1479

Form index53.3%

Last 5 matches
DDWWL

Expected goals2.12

ScheduledVSJuly 11, 2026
16:00

Molde FK

Standing#5

Elo rating1545

Form index60%

Last 5 matches
WLWLW

Expected goals1.28

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Molde FK at 52.1%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 78.2%
  • Likely score2 - 1 (9.60%)
  • BTTSYes · 57.5%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 55.9%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Aalesunds FK21.8%
Draw26.2%
Molde FK52.1%

Main pickMolde FK52.1%

Confidence50.9%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Aalesunds FK2.12
Expected total3.40
Molde FK1.28
55.9%Over 2.5

Over 55.9% Under 44.1%

57.5%BTTS

Yes 57.5% No 42.5%

Double chance

Available markets

1X47.9%
X278.2%
1273.8%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 2 - 1 — 9.6%
  2. Likely score 1 - 1 — 9.1%
  3. Likely score 2 - 0 — 7.5%
  4. Likely score 1 - 0 — 7.1%
  5. Likely score 3 - 1 — 6.8%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Aalesunds FK 27.9%Molde FK 12.1%

Draw no bet

Aalesunds FK 29.5%Molde FK 70.5%

Win to nil

Aalesunds FK 24.6%Molde FK 8.7%

Win by 2+ goals

Aalesunds FK 34.5%Molde FK 9.2%

Aalesunds FK vs Molde FK early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Aalesunds FK vs Molde FK?

The early estimate gives Molde FK a slight edge at 52.1%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 2 - 1 (9.60%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Eliteserien

What the data says about Aalesunds FK vs Molde FK

This Eliteserien fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Aalesunds FK sits 13th and Molde FK 5th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1479 for Aalesunds FK and 1545 for Molde FK.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 53.3% for Aalesunds FK and 60% for Molde FK. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Aalesunds FK 21.8%, the draw 26.2% and Molde FK 52.1%. The expected-goals model projects 2.12 xG against 1.28, for a combined 3.40.