Ekstraklasa · Scheduled

First AI projection for Raków Częstochowa vs Motor Lublin

First AI projection for this Ekstraklasa fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Raków Częstochowa

Standing#18

Elo rating1533

Form index40%

Last 5 matches
LLWWL

Expected goals1.74

ScheduledVS

Motor Lublin

Standing#17

Elo rating1469

Form index13.3%

Last 5 matches
LLDLD

Expected goals1.01

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy scheduleRanking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Raków Częstochowa at 53.1%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 80%
  • Likely score2 - 1 (12.87%)
  • BTTSYes · 57.9%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 55.2%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Raków Częstochowa53.1%
Draw26.9%
Motor Lublin20%

Main pickRaków Częstochowa53.1%

Confidence42.7%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Raków Częstochowa1.74
Expected total2.75
Motor Lublin1.01
55.2%Over 2.5

Over 55.2% Under 44.8%

57.9%BTTS

Yes 57.9% No 42.1%

Double chance

Available markets

1X80%
X246.9%
1273.1%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 2 - 112.9%
  2. Likely score 1 - 111.6%
  3. Likely score 1 - 010.4%
  4. Likely score 0 - 08.5%
  5. Likely score 1 - 26.9%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Raków Częstochowa 33.6%Motor Lublin 17%

Draw no bet

Raków Częstochowa 72.6%Motor Lublin 27.4%

Win to nil

Raków Częstochowa 25.2%Motor Lublin 8.5%

Win by 2+ goals

Raków Częstochowa 27.3%Motor Lublin 5.8%

Raków Częstochowa vs Motor Lublin early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Raków Częstochowa vs Motor Lublin?

The early estimate gives Raków Częstochowa a slight edge at 53.1%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 2 - 1 (12.87%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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Ekstraklasa

What the data says about Raków Częstochowa vs Motor Lublin

This Ekstraklasa fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Raków Częstochowa sits 18th and Motor Lublin 17th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1533 for Raków Częstochowa and 1469 for Motor Lublin.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 40% for Raków Częstochowa and 13.3% for Motor Lublin. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Raków Częstochowa 53.1%, the draw 26.9% and Motor Lublin 20%. The expected-goals model projects 1.74 xG against 1.01, for a combined 2.75.