Ekstraklasa · Full time

Prediction for Raków Częstochowa vs Arka Gdynia

Ekstraklasa AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Raków Częstochowa

Standing#4

Elo rating1552

Form index80%

Last 5 matches
WLWWW

Expected goals2.66

Full time3 - 0May 23, 2026
17:30

Arka Gdynia

Standing#17

Elo rating1438

Form index13.3%

Last 5 matches
LDDLL

Expected goals0.74

Match context to watch
Already relegatedLate-season context

Quick read

  • Main predictionEdge for Raków Częstochowa at 61.6%, with no guarantee of the outcome.
  • Confidence levelCorrect
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 86.7%
  • Likely score2 - 0 (11.78%)
  • BTTSYes · 50.7%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 52.9%

1X2 probabilities

Raków Częstochowa61.6%
Draw25.1%
Arka Gdynia13.3%

Main pickRaków Częstochowa61.6%

Confidence66.5%

StabilityCorrect

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Expected goals and trends

Raków Częstochowa2.66
Expected total3.40
Arka Gdynia0.74
52.9%Over 2.5

Over 52.9% Under 47.1%

50.7%BTTS

Yes 50.7% No 49.3%

Double chance

Available markets

1X86.7%
X238.4%
1274.9%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 2 - 011.8%
  2. Likely score 3 - 010.4%
  3. Likely score 1 - 08.9%
  4. Likely score 2 - 18.8%
  5. Likely score 3 - 17.8%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Raków Częstochowa 47.6%Arka Gdynia 7%

Draw no bet

Raków Częstochowa 82.2%Arka Gdynia 17.8%

Win to nil

Raków Częstochowa 44.2%Arka Gdynia 3.7%

Win by 2+ goals

Raków Częstochowa 57%Arka Gdynia 2.1%
Post-match review · Final score3 - 0

Verified predictionCorrect

Raków Częstochowa vs Arka Gdynia prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa vs Arka Gdynia?

The model gives Raków Częstochowa the edge at 61.6%, with no certainty about the final result.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 2 - 0 (11.78%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 50.7% and BTTS No at 49.3%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 86.7%, without being certain.

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Ekstraklasa

What the data says about Raków Częstochowa vs Arka Gdynia

This Ekstraklasa fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Raków Częstochowa sits 4th and Arka Gdynia 17th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1552 for Raków Częstochowa and 1438 for Arka Gdynia.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 80% for Raków Częstochowa and 13.3% for Arka Gdynia. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Raków Częstochowa 61.6%, the draw 25.1% and Arka Gdynia 13.3%. The expected-goals model projects 2.66 xG against 0.74, for a combined 3.40.