Ekstraklasa · Full time

Prediction for Pogon Szczecin vs GKS Katowice

Ekstraklasa AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Pogon Szczecin

Standing#9

Elo rating1534

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
WLWDL

Expected goals1.75

Full time1 - 1May 23, 2026
17:30

GKS Katowice

Standing#5

Elo rating1536

Form index60%

Last 5 matches
DDWDW

Expected goals0.97

Match context to watch
Relegation pressureLate-season contextRanking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Pogon Szczecin at 43.4%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 72.7%
  • Likely score1 - 0 (11.57%)
  • BTTSYes · 57.2%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 53.1%

1X2 probabilities

Pogon Szczecin43.4%
Draw29.2%
GKS Katowice27.3%

Main pickPogon Szczecin43.4%

Confidence51.2%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Pogon Szczecin1.75
Expected total2.71
GKS Katowice0.97
53.1%Over 2.5

Over 53.1% Under 46.9%

57.2%BTTS

Yes 57.2% No 42.8%

Double chance

Available markets

1X72.7%
X256.6%
1270.8%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 011.6%
  2. Likely score 1 - 111.2%
  3. Likely score 2 - 010.1%
  4. Likely score 2 - 19.8%
  5. Likely score 0 - 06.6%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Pogon Szczecin 38%GKS Katowice 17.4%

Draw no bet

Pogon Szczecin 61.4%GKS Katowice 38.6%

Win to nil

Pogon Szczecin 31.4%GKS Katowice 10.8%

Win by 2+ goals

Pogon Szczecin 31.2%GKS Katowice 7.2%
Post-match review · Final score1 - 1

Verified predictionIncorrect

Pogon Szczecin vs GKS Katowice prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Pogon Szczecin vs GKS Katowice?

The model sees an open match and gives Pogon Szczecin a slight edge at 43.4%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 0 (11.57%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 57.2% and BTTS No at 42.8%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 72.7%, without being certain.

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Ekstraklasa

What the data says about Pogon Szczecin vs GKS Katowice

This Ekstraklasa fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Pogon Szczecin sits 9th and GKS Katowice 5th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1534 for Pogon Szczecin and 1536 for GKS Katowice.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for Pogon Szczecin and 60% for GKS Katowice. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Pogon Szczecin 43.4%, the draw 29.2% and GKS Katowice 27.3%. The expected-goals model projects 1.75 xG against 0.97, for a combined 2.71.