Ekstraklasa · Full time

Prediction for Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk

Ekstraklasa AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

Advertising placement — local preview, ads hidden for this account

Nieciecza

Standing#18

Elo rating1472

Form index40%

Last 5 matches
WLLWL

Expected goals1.87

Full time3 - 2May 23, 2026
17:30

Lechia Gdansk

Standing#16

Elo rating1433

Form index6.7%

Last 5 matches
LLLLD

Expected goals1.44

Match context to watch
Already relegatedLate-season context

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Lechia Gdansk at 43.7%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 69.5%
  • Likely score1 - 1 (9.83%)
  • BTTSYes · 65.3%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 65.2%

1X2 probabilities

Nieciecza30.5%
Draw25.8%
Lechia Gdansk43.7%

Main pickLechia Gdansk43.7%

Confidence72.7%

StabilityRisk

Advertising placement — local preview, ads hidden for this account

Expected goals and trends

Nieciecza1.87
Expected total3.31
Lechia Gdansk1.44
65.2%Over 2.5

Over 65.2% Under 34.8%

65.3%BTTS

Yes 65.3% No 34.7%

Double chance

Available markets

1X56.3%
X269.5%
1274.2%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 19.8%
  2. Likely score 2 - 19.2%
  3. Likely score 1 - 27.1%
  4. Likely score 1 - 06.8%
  5. Likely score 2 - 26.6%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Nieciecza 23.8%Lechia Gdansk 15.4%

Draw no bet

Nieciecza 41.2%Lechia Gdansk 58.8%

Win to nil

Nieciecza 20.1%Lechia Gdansk 11.7%

Win by 2+ goals

Nieciecza 26.7%Lechia Gdansk 13.4%
Post-match review · Final score3 - 2

Verified predictionIncorrect

Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk?

The model sees an open match and gives Lechia Gdansk a slight edge at 43.7%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 1 (9.83%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 65.3% and BTTS No at 34.7%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance X2 stands at 69.5%, without being certain.

Advertising placement — local preview, ads hidden for this account

Ekstraklasa

What the data says about Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk

This Ekstraklasa fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Nieciecza sits 18th and Lechia Gdansk 16th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1472 for Nieciecza and 1433 for Lechia Gdansk.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 40% for Nieciecza and 6.7% for Lechia Gdansk. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Nieciecza 30.5%, the draw 25.8% and Lechia Gdansk 43.7%. The expected-goals model projects 1.87 xG against 1.44, for a combined 3.31.