Ekstraklasa · Full time

Prediction for Legia Warszawa vs Motor Lublin

Ekstraklasa AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Legia Warszawa

Standing#6

Elo rating1534

Form index80%

Last 5 matches
WWWLW

Expected goals1.48

Full time4 - 0May 23, 2026
17:30

Motor Lublin

Standing#12

Elo rating1485

Form index26.7%

Last 5 matches
DWLLL

Expected goals0.84

Match context to watch
Late-season context

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Legia Warszawa at 48.8%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 76.3%
  • Likely score1 - 0 (14.51%)
  • BTTSYes · 58.4%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 56.5%

1X2 probabilities

Legia Warszawa48.8%
Draw27.5%
Motor Lublin23.7%

Main pickLegia Warszawa48.8%

Confidence54.2%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Legia Warszawa1.48
Expected total2.32
Motor Lublin0.84
56.5%Over 2.5

Over 56.5% Under 43.5%

58.4%BTTS

Yes 58.4% No 41.6%

Double chance

Available markets

1X76.3%
X251.2%
1272.5%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 014.5%
  2. Likely score 1 - 112.2%
  3. Likely score 2 - 010.8%
  4. Likely score 0 - 09.8%
  5. Likely score 2 - 19.1%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Legia Warszawa 43.1%Motor Lublin 22.8%

Draw no bet

Legia Warszawa 67.3%Motor Lublin 32.7%

Win to nil

Legia Warszawa 33.3%Motor Lublin 12.9%

Win by 2+ goals

Legia Warszawa 26.6%Motor Lublin 6.8%
Post-match review · Final score4 - 0

Verified predictionCorrect

Legia Warszawa vs Motor Lublin prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Legia Warszawa vs Motor Lublin?

The model sees an open match and gives Legia Warszawa a slight edge at 48.8%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 0 (14.51%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 58.4% and BTTS No at 41.6%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 76.3%, without being certain.

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Ekstraklasa

What the data says about Legia Warszawa vs Motor Lublin

This Ekstraklasa fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Legia Warszawa sits 6th and Motor Lublin 12th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1534 for Legia Warszawa and 1485 for Motor Lublin.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 80% for Legia Warszawa and 26.7% for Motor Lublin. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Legia Warszawa 48.8%, the draw 27.5% and Motor Lublin 23.7%. The expected-goals model projects 1.48 xG against 0.84, for a combined 2.32.