Ekstraklasa · Full time

Prediction for Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock

Ekstraklasa AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

Advertising placement — local preview, ads hidden for this account

Lech Poznan

Standing#1

Elo rating1573

Form index86.7%

Last 5 matches
WDWWW

Expected goals2.92

Full time2 - 2May 23, 2026
17:30

Wisla Plock

Standing#8

Elo rating1435

Form index20%

Last 5 matches
LLLLW

Expected goals1.42

Match context to watch
Late-season contextRanking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Lech Poznan at 52.6%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 80.9%
  • Likely score2 - 1 (7.87%)
  • BTTSYes · 53.2%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 50.8%

1X2 probabilities

Lech Poznan52.6%
Draw28.3%
Wisla Plock19.1%

Main pickLech Poznan52.6%

Confidence62.5%

StabilityRisk

Advertising placement — local preview, ads hidden for this account

Expected goals and trends

Lech Poznan2.92
Expected total4.35
Wisla Plock1.42
50.8%Over 2.5

Over 50.8% Under 49.2%

53.2%BTTS

Yes 53.2% No 46.8%

Double chance

Available markets

1X80.9%
X247.4%
1271.7%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 2 - 17.9%
  2. Likely score 3 - 17.7%
  3. Likely score 4 - 15.6%
  4. Likely score 2 - 25.6%
  5. Likely score 2 - 05.5%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Lech Poznan 24.1%Wisla Plock 5.4%

Draw no bet

Lech Poznan 73.3%Wisla Plock 26.7%

Win to nil

Lech Poznan 22.8%Wisla Plock 4.1%

Win by 2+ goals

Lech Poznan 48.7%Wisla Plock 6.7%
Post-match review · Final score2 - 2

Verified predictionIncorrect

Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock?

The model sees an open match and gives Lech Poznan a slight edge at 52.6%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 2 - 1 (7.87%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 53.2% and BTTS No at 46.8%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 80.9%, without being certain.

Advertising placement — local preview, ads hidden for this account

Ekstraklasa

What the data says about Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock

This Ekstraklasa fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Lech Poznan sits 1st and Wisla Plock 8th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1573 for Lech Poznan and 1435 for Wisla Plock.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 86.7% for Lech Poznan and 20% for Wisla Plock. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Lech Poznan 52.6%, the draw 28.3% and Wisla Plock 19.1%. The expected-goals model projects 2.92 xG against 1.42, for a combined 4.35.