Ekstraklasa · Scheduled

First AI projection for Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa

First AI projection for this Ekstraklasa fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Lech Poznan

Standing#2

Elo rating1623

Form index73.3%

Last 5 matches
WWDDW

Expected goals1.38

ScheduledVS

Raków Częstochowa

Standing#18

Elo rating1533

Form index40%

Last 5 matches
LLWWL

Expected goals1.16

Match context to watch
Draw closeLine-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Lech Poznan at 39.6%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 70.4%
  • Likely score1 - 1 (12.34%)
  • BTTSYes · 56.7%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 50.9%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Lech Poznan39.6%
Draw30.8%
Raków Częstochowa29.6%

Main pickLech Poznan39.6%

Confidence49.7%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Lech Poznan1.38
Expected total2.54
Raków Częstochowa1.16
50.9%Over 2.5

Over 50.9% Under 49.1%

56.7%BTTS

Yes 56.7% No 43.3%

Double chance

Available markets

1X70.4%
X260.4%
1269.2%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 1 — 12.3%
  2. Likely score 2 - 1 — 11.5%
  3. Likely score 0 - 0 — 10.5%
  4. Likely score 1 - 0 — 9.8%
  5. Likely score 1 - 2 — 9.5%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Lech Poznan 29.6%Raków Częstochowa 24.2%

Draw no bet

Lech Poznan 57.2%Raków Częstochowa 42.8%

Win to nil

Lech Poznan 19.1%Raków Częstochowa 13.7%

Win by 2+ goals

Lech Poznan 16.7%Raków Częstochowa 10.4%

Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa?

The early estimate gives Lech Poznan a slight edge at 39.6%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 1 (12.34%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Ekstraklasa

What the data says about Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa

This Ekstraklasa fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Lech Poznan sits 2nd and Raków Częstochowa 18th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1623 for Lech Poznan and 1533 for Raków Częstochowa.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 73.3% for Lech Poznan and 40% for Raków Częstochowa. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Lech Poznan 39.6%, the draw 30.8% and Raków Częstochowa 29.6%. The expected-goals model projects 1.38 xG against 1.16, for a combined 2.54.